Match Info

Maxa liga - Round 14

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Rocknet Arena (Chomutov)


	Piráti Chomutov		PSG Zlín

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.20	2.80
	2.12	4.30	2.55
	2.16	4.04	2.76
	2.13	4.18	2.74	Watch
	2.13	4.00	2.70
	2.12	3.90	2.70
	2.08	4.10	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.04)	4.1 ↑ (3.96)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piráti Chomutov
43.8%

Draw
22.4%

PSG Zlín
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

23.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piráti Chomutov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

PSG Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piráti Chomutov than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSG Zlín than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Piráti Chomutov - PSG Zlín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Jekel P. (G)	57. Huf D. (G)
25. Pinkas M.	28. Talafa T.
15. Zovinec D. (C)	11. Stibingr J.
49. Coskey C.	96. Jarusek R. (A)
79. Hanzl M.	65. Sedlacek P. (C)
75. Redlich S.	7. Cip R.
Line 2
55. Matejicek M.	46. Ondracka T.
44. Vandas T.	3. Skurek D. (A)
10. Bares A.	22. Valek L.
22. Prikryl R. (A)	92. Holik P.
71. Boucher E.	91. Doktor J.
Line 3
14. Konvalinka A.	27. Zavrel M.
4. Havel R.	58. Guevin J.
18. Tuma M. (A)	13. Vaculik M.
17. Eret P.	89. Sadovikov S.
53. Silar T.	70. Baco R.
Line 4
19. Kaderavek P.	43. Senkerik P.
66. Svoboda T.	50. Dubrava K.
89. Blaha O.	23. Holba M.
23. Svoboda M.	9. Kohler B.
Substitutes
32. Malek R. (G)	31. Kantor P. (G)
24. Marha S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
10:30, 1 - 0, Boucher E. (G), Prikryl R. (A),
11:22, 1 - 1, Baco R. (G), Sadovikov S. (A),
13:14, 2 - 1, Vandas T. (G), Coskey C. (A),
15:17, 2 - 2, Valek L. (G), Cip R. (A), Doktor J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
09:58, 2 - 3, Cip R. (G), Senkerik P. (A), Jarusek R. (A2)
17:50, 3 - 3, Hanzl M. (G), Redlich S. (A),
19:20, 3 - 4, Skurek D. (G), Holik P. (A), Valek L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:44, 4 - 4, Zovinec D. (G), Coskey C. (A), Hanzl M. (A2)
09:22, 4 - 5, Cip R. (G),
19:07, 4 - 6, Valek L. (G), Doktor J. (A), Talafa T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chomutov won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chomutov holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chomutov has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:50 (averaging 1.8:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chomutov against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:16 goals (averaging 1.9:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Zlin	15	4	1	3	7	38:47	17
14	Chomutov	15	3	1	2	9	43:57	13

Last Results with these Odds

Piráti Chomutov - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

PSG Zlín - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piráti Chomutov
Czech Maxa Liga
14.10.26	Piráti Chomutov - Frýdek-Místek	4:3 penalties ✺
10.10.26	Vsetín - Piráti Chomutov	4:3 ✺
08.10.26	Piráti Chomutov - Tábor	2:3 OT ✺
03.10.26	Baník Sokolov - Piráti Chomutov	3:4 ✺
30.09.26	Piráti Chomutov - Kolín	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL
- PSG Zlín
Czech Maxa Liga
14.10.26	PSG Zlín - Baník Sokolov	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Stadion Litoměřice - PSG Zlín	1:2 AET ✺
07.10.26	PSG Zlín - Kolín	2:3 AET ✺
03.10.26	Havířov Panthers - PSG Zlín	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	PSG Zlín - Třebíč	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
09.09.26	PSG Zlín - Piráti Chomutov	6:3
14.02.26	Piráti Chomutov - PSG Zlín	1:3
27.12.25	PSG Zlín - Piráti Chomutov	1:0
15.11.25	Piráti Chomutov - PSG Zlín	2:1
03.10.25	PSG Zlín - Piráti Chomutov	2:4
14.03.25	Piráti Chomutov - PSG Zlín	1:4
13.03.25	Piráti Chomutov - PSG Zlín	0:1 OT

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