Match Info

European Cup of Nations

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Zimowy (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport
World	IIHF TV


	Poland		Italy

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.1	1.97
	1.48	4.86	5.44	Watch
	3.21	3.85	1.93	Watch
	2.88	4.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)	4.29 ↑ (4.1)	2.84 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
38.8%

Draw
24.4%

Italy
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

21.6%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland's performance.

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Poland - Italy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Italy will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Fucik T. (G) Tychy	30. Vallini G. (G) Bolzano
61. Pociecha B. Tychy	27. Larkin T. Schwenninger
3. Ciura B. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	5. Trivellato A. Schwenninger
86. Macias K. Vitkovice	23. Purdeller T. Val Pusteria
18. Pasiut G. GKS Katowice	26. Frycklund M. Val Pusteria
16. Zygmunt P. Litvinov	16. Tedesco D. Hartford Wolf Pack
Line 2
21. Bryk M. Tychy	7. Di Tomaso G. Val Pusteria
17. Gorny K. Bytom	25. Zanatta L. Val Pusteria
88. Lyszczarczyk A. Tychy	20. Gazley D. Bolzano
14. Pas D. Tychy	28. Bradley M. Bolzano
8. Chmielewski A. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	18. Saracino N. Val Pusteria
Line 3
6. Florczak B. Oswiecim	17. Seed J. Bolzano
9. Bilas K. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	3. Amorosa T. Herning Blue Fox
71. Brynkus S. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	19. Petan A. HK Olimpija
5. Komorski F. Tychy	9. Mantenuto D. Bolzano
28. Michalski M. GKS Katowice	21. Frigo L. Bolzano
Line 4
12. Jaworski A. Torun	10. Spornberger P. ERC Ingolstadt
4. Zielinski M. Torun	2. Glira D. Val Pusteria
24. Gromadzki A. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14. Ramoser J. Grizzly Wolfsburg
98. Syty N. Torun	22. Kostner D. Ambri-Piotta
23. Krzemien L. Oswiecim	6. Mantinger M. Val Pusteria
Substitutes
1. Miarka M. (G) Zaglebie Sosnowiec	29. Rigoni R. (G) Asiago

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
06:15, 1 - 0, Krzemien L. (G),
09:03, 2 - 0, Gorny K. (G), Zygmunt P. (A), Syty N. (A2)
12:17, 2 - 1, Bradley M. (G), Saracino N. (A), Larkin T. (A2)
15:07, 3 - 1, Pas D. (G), Ciura B. (A), Bryk M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:14, 4 - 1, Pas D. (G), Komorski F. (A), Chmielewski A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:41, 4 - 2, Petan A. (G), Zanatta L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 2.

Italy could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Poland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:40. (average 2.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
03.05.25	Great Britain - Poland	3:0 ✺
01.05.25	Poland - Ukraine	1:4 ✺
30.04.25	Poland - Italy	1:4 ✺
28.04.25	Poland - Japan	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Romania - Poland	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW
- Italy hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
03.05.25	Italy - Romania	7:1 ✺
01.05.25	Italy - Great Britain	1:5 ✺
30.04.25	Poland - Italy	1:4 ✺
28.04.25	Italy - Ukraine	2:3 penalties ✺
27.04.25	Japan - Italy	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IA
30.04.25	Poland - Italy	1:4
Friendly International Ice Hockey
19.04.25	Poland - Italy	3:1
18.04.25	Poland - Italy	2:3
Ice Hockey International Tournament Poland
06.02.25	Poland - Italy	5:2
Ice Hockey International Tournament Hungary
09.11.24	Italy - Poland	5:3
Friendly International Ice Hockey
14.12.23	Italy - Poland	1:3
IIHF World Championship IA
02.05.23	Italy - Poland	2:4

Poland - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide