Match Info

WCH IA

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Sepsi Arena (Sfantu Gheorghe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1


	Poland		Japan

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.25	3.6	Watch
	1.75	4.5	3.5
	1.8	4.6	3.3	Watch
	1.83	4.47	3.21	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.25
	1.69	4.54	3.74	Watch
	1.8	4.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	4.45 ↓ (5)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
52.3%

Draw
20.7%

Japan
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

18.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Poland - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Japan will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Japan will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Fucik T. (G) Tychy	29. Otsuka I. (G) Nikko Ice Bucks
12. Bizacki O. Tychy	8. Ishida R. (A) Merano
3. Ciura B. (A) Tychy	2. Hayata S. Nikko Ice Bucks
98. Krezolek P. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	24. Sato Y. Dynamo Altay (VHL)
14. Pas D. Tychy	22. Nakajima T. Merano
16. Zygmunt P. Litvinov	17. Hanzawa C. HL Anyang
Line 2
69. Bryk M. Tychy	5. Halliday J. (A) Red Eagles Hokkaido
79. Bilas K. Sanok	12. Sato H. Nikko Ice Bucks
91. Jeziorski B. Tychy	9. Takagi K. Red Eagles Hokkaido
5. Komorski F. (A) Tychy	19. Nakajima S. (C) Red Eagles Hokkaido
88. Lyszczarczyk A. Tychy	26. Hirano Y. Krefeld Pinguine
Line 3
73. Narog M. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	4. Kimura S. Red Eagles Hokkaido
17. Gorny K. Jastrzebie	20. Otsu Y. HL Anyang
61. Dziubinski K. (C) Oswiecim	18. Suzuki F.
15. Tyczynski D. Zaglebie Sosnowiec	15. Irikura T. Red Eagles Hokkaido
9. Sadlocha K. Oswiecim	25. Isogai S. Nikko Ice Bucks
Line 4
4. Zielinski M. Torun	6. Takada R.
51. Wanacki J. Krakow	3. Toko Y.
34. Macias K. Moose Jaw Warriors	16. Okubo M.
89. Syty N. Torun	14. Osawa Y. Yokohama Grits
97. Goscinski M. Tychy	28. Sato K. Bloomington Bison
Substitutes
31. Murray J. (G) GKS Katowice	1. Narisawa Y. (G) Red Eagles Hokkaido

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
06:27, 1 - 0, Bizacki O. (G), Pas D. (A),
19:16, 2 - 0, Krezolek P. (G), Pas D. (A), Zygmunt P. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:54, 2 - 1, Osawa Y. (G), Takagi K. (A), Hayata S. (A2)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poland won 4.

Poland is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Poland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Poland will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Poland to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Poland won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35:18 (average 3.9:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
27.04.25	Romania - Poland	1:4 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
24.04.25	Slovenia - Poland	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Poland - Italy	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Poland - Italy	2:3 ✺
14.04.25	Poland - Ukraine	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW
- Japan hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
27.04.25	Japan - Italy	1:4 ✺
Asian Games Hockey
14.02.25	Kazakhstan - Japan	5:0 ✺
13.02.25	South Korea - Japan	3:4 penalties ✺
10.02.25	Japan - China	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Japan - Kazakhstan	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Ice Hockey
12.02.23	Japan - Poland	4:3 OT
IIHF World Championship IB
01.05.22	Poland - Japan	2:0
Ice Hockey International Tournament Poland
08.11.19	Poland - Japan	3:2
IIHF World Championship IB
04.05.19	Poland - Japan	7:4
Friendly International Ice Hockey
17.04.18	Poland - Japan	5:2
Ice Hockey International Tournament Hungary
11.11.17	Poland - Japan	3:2
IIHF World Championship IA
29.04.16	Poland - Japan	10:4

Poland - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide