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Current Win Probability
Polonia Bytom 68.8%
Draw 16.8%
ComArch Cracovia 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.2%
18.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
19.3%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ComArch Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Bytom that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ComArch Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Polonia Bytom - ComArch Cracovia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Jaworski T. (G)
32. Lipiainen S. (G)
11. Kurnicki O.
77. Laitinen V.
34. Musiol D.
5. Metel K.
24. Bepierszcz M.
92. Valtola O.
9. Jarosz D.
23. Berzins D.
86. Wielkiewicz F.
76. Airo J.
Line 2
23. Kubes J.
9. Kapa D.
17. Gorny K.
98. Shkrabov A.
91. Vorona O.
13. Dawid B.
44. Fadyeyev Y.
25. Montgomery S.
61. Zajac M.
20. White J.
Line 3
77. Osenieks E.
86. Gorsanovs D.
43. Hrebenyk A.
4. Jaracz M.
12. Buyalsky A.
95. Kapica D.
94. Mroczkowski C.
38. Ubowski M.
21. Padakin P.
21. Mocarski K.
Line 4
6. Kamenev Y.
66. Slusarek J.
8. Bodora A.
11. Kot R.
16. Petrazycki T.
97. Guminski S.
38. Karasinski A.
10. Wicher S.
Substitutes
31. Kuznetsov M. (G)
72. Klimowski S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
13:28, 0 - 1, Montgomery S. (G), White J. (A),
16:56, 1 - 1, Bepierszcz M. (G), Mroczkowski C. (A), Buyalsky A. (A2)
17:58, 2 - 1, Bepierszcz M. (G), Wielkiewicz F. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
00:52, 3 - 1, Wielkiewicz F. (G), Mroczkowski C. (A), Osenieks E. (A2)
10:15, 4 - 1, Fadyeyev Y. (G), Zajac M. (A), Vorona O. (A2)
13:34, 5 - 1, Jarosz D. (G), Wielkiewicz F. (A), Petrazycki T. (A2)
17:53, 6 - 1, Gorny K. (G), Zajac M. (A), Vorona O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:16, 7 - 1, Padakin P. (G), Hrebenyk A. (A), Fadyeyev Y. (A2)
04:40, 7 - 2, Laitinen V. (G), Berzins D. (A), Mocarski K. (A2)
05:12, 7 - 3, Jaracz M. (G), Dawid B. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bytom won 4.
Bytom has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cracovia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cracovia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bytom holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Bytom in today's match, at odds of 1.35.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bytom has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:70 (averaging 2.7:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bytom against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 31:38 goals (averaging 3.1:3.8 per game).