Match Info

NMHL

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Polyot Rybinsk		Arktika Murmansk

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.4	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	5.4 ↓ (5.55)	5.03 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polyot Rybinsk
65%

Draw
16.9%

Arktika Murmansk
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

16.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

17.7%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polyot Rybinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Arktika Murmansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polyot Rybinsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arktika Murmansk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Polyot Rybinsk - Arktika Murmansk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polyot won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Arktika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arktika has had a series of home games.

In this match, Polyot is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Polyot won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 60:44. (average 5:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Polyot won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:18. (average 5.8:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
13.01.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Arktika Murmansk	5:4 ✺
10.01.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	2:4 ✺
21.12.25	Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Arktika Murmansk
RHL
13.01.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Arktika Murmansk	5:4 ✺
24.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	3:2 ✺
09.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Granit Chekhov	2:1 penalties ✺
08.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Granit Chekhov	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
13.01.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Arktika Murmansk	5:4
11.10.25	Arktika Murmansk - Polyot Rybinsk	5:7
10.10.25	Arktika Murmansk - Polyot Rybinsk	3:6
22.02.25	Arktika Murmansk - Polyot Rybinsk	2:3 OT
21.02.25	Arktika Murmansk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:2
20.12.23	Arktika Murmansk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:2
30.11.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Arktika Murmansk	8:3

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