The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polyot Rybinsk 39.4%
Draw 22.3%
Metallurg Cherepovets 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.5%
22.3%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
24.4%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polyot Rybinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Metallurg Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
09:42, 0 - 1, Suslov N. (G), Uchayev V. (A), Vasilevsky B. (A2)
16:57, 0 - 2, Suslov N. (G), Uchayev V. (A), Tsygankov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:55, 0 - 3, Vasilevsky B. (G),
16:33, 0 - 4, Makovetsky N. (G), Suslov N. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:10, 1 - 4, Zharikov A. (G), Klyanchin R. (A), Polatov V. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polyot won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Polyot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, M Cherepovets has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Polyot has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 75:80 (averaging 3.8:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Polyot against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 34:45 goals (averaging 3.1:4.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Polyot Rybinsk - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Metallurg Cherepovets - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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