The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Providence Bruins 48.3%
Draw 22.5%
Hershey Bears 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
24.4%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
26.6%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Providence Bruins that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+5%)
Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. DiPietro M. (G)
31. Stevenson C. (G)
47. Abate J.
7. Belpedio L. (A)
18. Blumel M.
92. Bongiovanni W.
16. Brown C.
5. Chesley R.
38. Brown P. (C)
20. Cristall A.
42. Brunet F.
19. Cruikshank G.
23. Callahan M. (A)
14. Funk Z.
11. Duran R.
48. Gucciardi D.
26. Farinacci J.
33. King D. J.
72. Gendron A.
23. Leason B.
22. Lysell F.
15. Milano S.
10. Merkulov G.
32. Nachbaur J.
21. Poitras M.
40. Protas I.
8. Schmaltz J.
6. Schueneman C. (A)
29. Soderstrom V.
37. Smith D.
6. Sweezey B.
45. Strome M. (A)
27. Tufte R. (A)
41. Suzdalev A.
13. Wanner M.
44. Trineyev B.
86. Wolanin C.
4. Webb R.
Substitutes
33. Cavallin L. (G)
1. Bjorklund G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:55, 1 - 0, Abate J. (G), Sweezey B. (A), DiPietro M. (A2)
06:13, 1 - 1, Smith D. (G), Belpedio L. (A), Cruikshank G. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:07, 2 - 1, Wolanin C. (G), Poitras M. (A), Merkulov G. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 3)
06:29, 3 - 1, Blumel M. (G), Brown P. (A), Tufte R. (A2)
07:29, 3 - 2, Trineyev B. (G), Protas I. (A), Chesley R. (A2)
12:00, 3 - 3, Protas I. (G), Chesley R. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)
16:08, 3 - 4, Protas I. (G), Trineyev B. (A),
17:10, 4 - 4, Schmaltz J. (G), Lysell F. (A), Soderstrom V. (A2)
19:13, 5 - 4, Tufte R. (G), Poitras M. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
Providence is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hershey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Providence is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 46:46. (average 2.3:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.2:2.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Providence Bruins - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.
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DiPietro M. (G) 
Abate J. 
Blumel M. 
Lysell F. 
Merkulov G. 
Protas I. 
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