Match Info

SHL

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Rögle		Örebro

	1	X	2
	1.53	5.25	5	Watch
	1.65	4.55	4.55	Watch
	1.6	4.14	4.95
	1.59	4.33	4.9	Watch
	1.53	4.4	4.33
	1.6	4.6	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	4.55 ↑ (4.44)	4.71 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
59.4%

Draw
20.7%

Örebro
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

21%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

21.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Rögle - Örebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
65. Rifalk C. (G)	1. Enroth J. (G)
95. Friedman M.	55. Quenneville D.
16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.	28. Arnesson L.
52. Nilsson F.	89. Karlkvist P.
22. Olofsson F.	11. Kossila K.
62. Horky L.	21. Puistola P.
Line 2
45. Biber G.	7. Martin L.
44. de Haan C.	5. Backstrom G. (A)
67. Bristedt L. (A)	72. Ylonen J.
23. Dickinson J.	80. Miketinac K.
83. Kuhlman K.	46. Sjodin S.
Line 3
6. LaDue P.	6. Berglund F.
51. Sjalin C.	27. Seppala P.
18. Everberg D. (A)	23. Polin E.
28. Bengtsson A. (C)	29. Oscarson M.
72. Zaar D.	12. Steen N.
Line 4
17. Norlin I.	48. Vainio J.
32. Solberg I.	37. Gustafsson G. (C)
37. Sundsvik A.	33. Mastomaki C. (A)
8. Sandin L.	17. Wikman W.
Substitutes
75. Holm A. (G)	31. Arntzen J. (G)
27. Sjodin L.
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Eriksson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:59, Kossila K. (2 min),
13:37, Kuhlman K. (2 min),
15:26, 0 - 1, Berglund F. (G), Kossila K. (A), Steen N. (A2)
18:38, 1 - 1, Nilsson F. (G), Sjalin C. (A), de Haan C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:52, Berglund F. (2 min),
09:47, 2 - 1, Dickinson J. (G), Bristedt L. (A), Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (A2)
12:26, Bengtsson A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:09, Rifalk C. (2 min),
04:01, Kossila K. (2 min),
14:17, 2 - 2, Gustafsson G. (G), Ylonen J. (A), Quenneville D. (A2)
16:12, Kossila K. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:21, 2 - 3, Quenneville D. (G), Kossila K. (A), Karlkvist P. (A2)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Örebro has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rögle is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:62. (average 3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 3.4:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11
10	Orebro	7	2	0	2	3	14:20	8

Last Results with these Odds

Örebro - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 22.02%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
26.02.26	Brynäs - Rögle	2:1 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Linköping - Rögle	3:4 penalties ✺
19.02.26	Rögle - HV71	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Rögle - Växjö Lakers	3:4 OT ✺
05.02.26	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLW
- Örebro HK
SHL
26.02.26	Malmö Redhawks - Örebro	1:4 ✺
21.02.26	Leksand - Örebro	3:0 ✺
19.02.26	Örebro - Frölunda	5:4 OT ✺
07.02.26	Skellefteå - Örebro	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Luleå - Örebro	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
03.01.26	Örebro - Rögle	3:4
29.11.25	Örebro - Rögle	4:3
04.10.25	Rögle - Örebro	5:3
11.02.25	Örebro - Rögle	3:4
07.01.25	Rögle - Örebro	3:1
14.11.24	Örebro - Rögle	4:5 OT
17.10.24	Rögle - Örebro	2:1 penalties

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