The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rögle 41.6%
Draw 24.5%
Frölunda 33.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.5%
23.1%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
24.3%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Rögle - Frölunda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)
30. Normann T. (G)
58. Johansson F.
8. Johannesson S.
44. de Haan C. (A)
7. Tommernes H. (A)
62. Horky L.
12. Friberg M. (C)
22. Olofsson F. (A)
31. Lasu N. (A)
94. Koblar T.
10. Westergard M.
Line 2
95. Friedman M.
6. Hasa F.
7. Claesson L.
33. Hogberg L.
8. Sandin L.
77. Lindholm M.
46. Kellman J.
44. Peterson J.
83. Kuhlman K.
86. Thorell E.
Line 3
6. LaDue P.
26. Heens I.
51. Sjalin C.
3. Milosevic S.
72. Zaar D.
9. Clarke G.
37. Sundsvik A.
16. Meijer B.
18. Everberg D. (C)
92. Cederqvist F. (A)
Line 4
4. Clurman N.
28. Bratt Z.
32. Solberg I.
64. Klyvoe M.
41. Zether S.
40. Hasa N.
21. Jellvik O.
70. Dower Nilsson L.
Substitutes
17. Bartholdsson N.
11. Fagemo S.
70. Clang C. (G)
1. Johansson L. (G)
Coaches
. Tangnes D.
. Ohlsson R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
19:03, Johannesson S. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
05:52, 1 - 0, Kellman J. (G), Sandin L. (A),
12:11, LaDue P. (2 min),
16:12, 2 - 0, Zaar D. (G),
18:03, 3 - 0, Horky L. (G), de Haan C. (A), Friedman M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:43, 4 - 0, Sundsvik A. (G), de Haan C. (A), Everberg D. (A2)
12:05, Sundsvik A. (2 min),
18:05, Zether S. (2 min),
18:05, Zether S. (2 min),
18:05, Zether S. (2 min),
18:05, Westergard M. (2 min),
18:05, Lasu N. (2 min),
19:19, 4 - 1, Meijer B. (G), Hogberg L. (A), Thorell E. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 3.
Rögle has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Frölunda shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Frölunda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rögle has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:60 (averaging 2.6:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rögle against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:34 goals (averaging 3.2:3.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Frolunda
15
8
2
0
5
51:38
28
5
Rogle
14
6
2
0
6
37:33
22
Outrights of SHL for now
Frolunda: 13.01% Rogle: 9.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Rögle - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.
Sweden
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Holm A. (G) 
Normann T. (G) 
de Haan C. (A) 
Horky L. 
Westergard M. 
Kuhlman K. 
Klyvoe M. 
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