Match Info

SHL

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2


	Rögle		Frölunda

	1	X	2
	2.7	4	2.4	Watch
	2.49	3.99	2.49
	2.41	3.63	2.67	Watch
	2.38	3.75	2.45
	2.53	3.86	2.42	Watch
	2.45	3.85	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.44)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
37.8%

Draw
24.5%

Frölunda
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

23.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

23.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Rögle - Frölunda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)	30. Normann T. (G)
95. Friedman M.	46. Egli D.
16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.	7. Tommernes H.
18. Everberg D. (A)	12. Friberg M. (C)
28. Bengtsson A. (C)	40. Peterson J.
8. Sandin L.	92. Cederqvist F.
Line 2
58. Johansson F.	43. Nilsson T.
44. de Haan C.	33. Hogberg L.
67. Bristedt L. (A)	44. Dower Nilsson N.
23. Dickinson J.	25. Ruotsalainen A.
83. Kuhlman K.	21. Innala J.
Line 3
6. LaDue P.	2. Folin Ch. (A)
51. Sjalin C.	26. Heens I.
52. Nilsson F.	9. Weissbach L.
22. Olofsson F.	27. Niederbach T.
62. Horky L.	11. Lindholm M.
Line 4
45. Biber G.	6. Hasa F.
37. Sundsvik A.	32. Hasa N.
41. Zether S.	31. Lasu N. (A)
72. Zaar D.	17. Born I.
Substitutes
65. Rifalk C. (G)	1. Johansson L. (G)
32. Solberg I.	49. Toresson M.
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Ohlsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
14:34, 0 - 1, Peterson J. (G),
16:28, 0 - 2, Lindholm M. (G), Niederbach T. (A), Weissbach L. (A2)
17:36, Peterson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:17, Lasu N. (2 min),
14:20, 0 - 3, Lasu N. (G), Hasa N. (A), Heens I. (A2)
17:41, 1 - 3, Horky L. (G), Olofsson F. (A), Nilsson F. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:35, 1 - 4, Innala J. (G), Weissbach L. (A), Ruotsalainen A. (A2)
11:38, 2 - 4, Horky L. (G), Sjalin C. (A), Friedman M. (A2)
18:04, 2 - 5, Cederqvist F. (G),
18:30, Friberg M. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 3.

Rögle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Frölunda is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rögle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Frölunda has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 50:58. (average 2.5:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:29. (average 3.3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
20.12.25	Färjestad - Rögle	1:2 ✺
18.12.25	Rögle - Brynäs	2:3 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Rögle - Linköping	1:3 ✺
04.12.25	Rögle - Timrå	2:1 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Örebro - Rögle	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- Frölunda HC
SHL
20.12.25	Brynäs - Frölunda	1:3 ✺
18.12.25	Frölunda - HV71	3:2 penalties ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
16.12.25	Frölunda - ERC Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
SHL
06.12.25	Frölunda - Brynäs	3:0 ✺
04.12.25	Frölunda - Djurgården	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
28.10.25	Rögle - Frölunda	2:0
11.10.25	Frölunda - Rögle	4:1
04.03.25	Frölunda - Rögle	0:3
16.01.25	Rögle - Frölunda	2:1
23.11.24	Frölunda - Rögle	1:0
24.09.24	Rögle - Frölunda	4:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.24	Rögle - Frölunda	1:0 OT

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