The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Salzburg 58.5%
Draw 19.7%
Villacher 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
18.4%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
19.2%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Villacher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Tolvanen A. (G)
35. Cannata J. (G)
95. Horl L.
26. Larochelle S.
22. Robertson D.
55. Schreier L.
3. Schneider P. (A)
72. Hughes J. (A)
70. Nissner B.
17. Metzler J.
16. Auer L. C.
8. Rebernig M.
Line 2
62. Kalynuk W.
52. Sproul R. (A)
4. Nienhuis N.
6. Walford S.
96. Huber M. (C)
40. Wallenta E.
77. Brooks A.
16. Hancock K.
24. Poisson N.
41. Teasdale J.
Line 3
6. Lee J.
42. Wall A.
44. Galipeau O.
71. Strong S.
26. Hochkofler P.
91. Andersson L.
9. Wukovits A.
78. Maxa F. (C)
5. Raffl T. (A)
19. Cramarossa J.
Line 4
7. Wurzer M.
63. Topalovic B.
49. Norlin I.
11. Sintschnig J.
93. Lanzinger F.
43. Raspotnig J.
68. Gesson A.
8. Bohm M.
Substitutes
30. Kickert D. (G)
37. Swette R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:15, 1 - 0, Kalynuk W. (G), Schneider P. (A), Nissner B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
04:10, 1 - 1, Hancock K. (G), Hughes J. (A),
08:58, 1 - 2, Teasdale J. (G),
11:25, 1 - 3, Hughes J. (G), Hancock K. (A), Sproul R. (A2)
14:10, 2 - 3, Schneider P. (G), Nissner B. (A),
17:13, 2 - 4, Hughes J. (G), Rebernig M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Bull Salzburg won 3.
Red Bull Salzburg is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Villach is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Villach could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Red Bull Salzburg is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:54 (averaging 3.3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:23 goals (averaging 3.3:2.3 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Salzburg: 18.93%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Salzburg
9
4
0
1
4
30:31
13
8
Villach
8
3
1
1
3
23:25
12
Last Results with these Odds
Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.