The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Regina Pats 12.1%
Draw 12.7%
Medicine Hat Tigers 75.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.9%
15.4%
69.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
16.8%
63.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Regina Pats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Medicine Hat Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Medicine Hat Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Regina Pats than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medicine Hat Tigers than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Medicine Hat Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Tabashnuik T. (G)
30. Casey C. (G)
4. Bridgeman K. (A)
34. Basha A. (A)
27. Brown C. (A)
10. Bryzgalov Y.
49. Derkatch D.
17. Cunningham C.
38. Deschamps D.
39. Davidson N.
24. Egland J.
11. Gordon-Carroll S.
10. Fawcett K.
4. Kor G.
6. Hamilton R.
5. McCann K. (A)
25. Karimov R.
25. Muhonen N.
37. Klassen C.
29. Neutens E.
3. Kohn J.
20. Parr C.
57. Lansard Z.
27. Pickford B. (C)
55. McNutt E. (C)
14. Reschny D.
21. Mieyette E.
12. Ruck L.
18. Moore Z. (A)
26. Ruck M.
44. Paranych M.
3. Steen R.
32. Paull M.
21. Stengrim K.
13. Pue L.
23. Vaisanen V.
19. Schultz M.
22. Van Mulligen J. (A)
23. Wagner A.
18. Woo J.
Substitutes
35. Schlenker M. (G)
31. Switzer J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
08:02, 1 - 0, Lansard Z. (G), Klassen C. (A), McNutt E. (A2)
10:40, 1 - 1, Stengrim K. (G), Woo J. (A),
18:50, 1 - 2, Kor G. (G), Neutens E. (A), Bryzgalov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
11:57, 1 - 3, Ruck L. (G), Basha A. (A),
13:21, 1 - 4, Davidson N. (G), Basha A. (A), Ruck M. (A2)
15:19, 2 - 4, Karimov R. (G), Tabashnuik T. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
Medicine Hat Tigers leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regina won 1.
Recent form of Regina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Medicine Hat is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Medicine Hat is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Regina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 46:108. (average 2.3:5.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Regina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:49. (average 3.3:5.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Regina Pats - the odds 6.21 are the expected chance of winning is 14.92%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Medicine Hat Tigers - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 69.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.