Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Colisée Financière Sun Life (Rimouski, QC) 🌤️ ...


	Rimouski Oceanic		Shawinigan Cataractes

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.78	1.81
	3.21	4.52	1.8
	3.2	4.7	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (4.07)	4.67 ↓ (5.02)	1.8 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rimouski Oceanic
28.7%

Draw
19.8%

Shawinigan Cataractes
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

18.4%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

17.5%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rimouski Oceanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rimouski Oceanic's performance.

Shawinigan Cataractes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shawinigan Cataractes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rimouski Oceanic than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Rimouski Oceanic - Shawinigan Cataractes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Blackwood M. (G)	32. Jackson K. (G)
57. Arsenault Z.	37. Bergeron F.
27. Beaulieu J.	2. Boyer S.
17. Belzil T.	11. Branton M.
6. Benoit-Rioux B.	44. Charron O.
63. Bourque-Vigneault M.	81. Chartier S.
77. Brien M.	5. Collette N.
10. Cloutier R.	71. Corso B.
19. Cutta M.	92. Desrochers M.
24. Dube M.	13. Dumais L.
20. Gagnon J.	96. Dupuis K.
26. Genereux C.	23. Faucher E.
91. Mares M.	77. Fortin A.
18. Masse A.	93. Laframboise D.
73. Nadeau J.	86. Lemieux P.
8. Pellegrino C.	72. Lygitsakos C.
21. Schaaf A.	98. Prudhomme J.
3. Sturgeon C.	78. Shtyrhunov V.
76. Turcot J.	10. Yared W.
Substitutes
30. Saulnier T. (G)	30. Guerard S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 0)
01:02, 1 - 0, Brien M. (G), Dube M. (A), Benoit-Rioux B. (A2)
01:21, 2 - 0, Brien M. (G), Cloutier R. (A), Turcot J. (A2)
04:46, 3 - 0, Bourque-Vigneault M. (G), Belzil T. (A), Benoit-Rioux B. (A2)
06:11, 4 - 0, Cloutier R. (Penalty Shot),
2nd Period (6 - 2)
03:31, 4 - 1, Collette N. (G),
03:43, 5 - 1, Arsenault Z. (G), Dube M. (A), Bourque-Vigneault M. (A2)
05:14, 6 - 1, Belzil T. (G), Cutta M. (A),
06:04, 7 - 1, Dube M. (G), Mares M. (A), Benoit-Rioux B. (A2)
06:36, 8 - 1, Belzil T. (G), Pellegrino C. (A), Beaulieu J. (A2)
10:07, 9 - 1, Turcot J. (G), Cloutier R. (A), Brien M. (A2)
13:12, 9 - 2, Branton M. (G), Lygitsakos C. (A), Prudhomme J. (A2)
15:00, 10 - 2, Pellegrino C. (G), Belzil T. (A), Bourque-Vigneault M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:13, 11 - 2, Arsenault Z. (G), Dube M. (A), Cloutier R. (A2)
07:09, 12 - 2, Gagnon J. (G),
13:00, 13 - 2, Cloutier R. (G), Turcot J. (A), Brien M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rimouski won 0.

Rimouski has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Shawinigan has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rimouski could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Shawinigan has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Shawinigan for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Rimouski in today's match, at odds of 4.26.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rimouski has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:81 (averaging 3:4.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rimouski against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:28 goals (averaging 3.4:2.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Shawinigan Cataractes - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rimouski Oceanic
QMJHL
19.09.26	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Rimouski Oceanic	2:5 ✺
18.09.26	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Rimouski Oceanic	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Rimouski Oceanic - Quebec Remparts	4:3 penalties
11.09.26	Rimouski Oceanic - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	3:2 penalties
30.08.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Rimouski Oceanic	1:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.9 WWWWW
- Shawinigan Cataractes
QMJHL
25.09.26	Quebec Remparts - Shawinigan Cataractes	7:2 ✺
20.09.26	Gatineau Olympiques - Shawinigan Cataractes	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Shawinigan Cataractes	2:5 ✺
11.09.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Chicoutimi Sagueneens	0:5
10.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Shawinigan Cataractes	4:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
06.02.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Rimouski Oceanic	6:4
25.01.26	Rimouski Oceanic - Shawinigan Cataractes	2:10
30.11.25	Rimouski Oceanic - Shawinigan Cataractes	1:2
13.11.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Rimouski Oceanic	5:3
20.08.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Rimouski Oceanic	4:1
06.05.25	Rimouski Oceanic - Shawinigan Cataractes	4:3 OT
04.05.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Rimouski Oceanic	5:1

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