Match Info

Mestis - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lappi Areena (Rovaniemi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max


	RoKi		Imatran Ketterä

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.9	2.9
	2.18	3.88	2.58
	2.22	4.11	2.66	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.6
	2.2	3.88	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 (2.18)	3.93 ↓ (4.07)	2.68 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi
42.2%

Draw
23.4%

Imatran Ketterä
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

22.8%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Imatran Ketterä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RoKi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imatran Ketterä than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

RoKi - Imatran Ketterä Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Huunonen R. (G)	90. Vinni E. (G)
18. Siira L.	26. Salmela S.
28. Virtanen E.	6. Rannisto J.
9. Lindroos V.	82. Sinkkonen A.
93. Jarvela J.	21. Ruotsi J.
39. Niemi E.	13. Dvorak A.
Line 2
55. Kenttamaa A.	4. Tamminen J.
2. Manninen J.	46. Kiukas P.
91. Mikkola M.	19. Tiihonen L.
19. Orn T.	67. Lehtinen J.
21. Alanko T.	51. Lemberg L.
Line 3
78. Haataja V.	63. Niemi A.
84. Gronlund N.	77. Kakranen J.
15. Kaarela E.	28. Haaparanta M.
87. Ruusunen R.	27. Paasovaara E.
77. Sikorski A.	88. Viskari J.
Line 4
5. Antikainen A.	89. Laukkanen R.
71. Boucher E.	11. Pietila N.
13. Puotiniemi V.	81. Lankinen J.
82. Korsumaki A.	14. Heinanen K.
Substitutes
1. Hyypia E. (G)	30. Tanninen V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:15, 0 - 1, Haaparanta M. (G), Laukkanen R. (A), Kiukas P. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:57, 0 - 2, Tamminen J. (G), Lemberg L. (A), Haaparanta M. (A2)
01:15, 0 - 3, Haaparanta M. (G), Paasovaara E. (A), Viskari J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:50, 1 - 3, Niemi E. (G), Kaarela E. (A), Jarvela J. (A2)
15:19, 2 - 3, Boucher E. (G), Haataja V. (A),
18:36, 2 - 4, Sinkkonen A. (G), Dvorak A. (A),

Preview

Kettera leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 49:73. (average 2.5:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 2.3:4.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	RoKi	8	3	3	0	2	26:15	15
9	Kettera	9	1	1	2	5	18:28	7

Last Results with these Odds

RoKi - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Imatran Ketterä - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.54%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
08.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	2:1 OT ✺
06.03.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	2:6 ✺
03.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	3:2 OT ✺
02.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLW
- Imatran Ketterä
Finnish Mestis
08.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	2:1 OT ✺
06.03.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	2:6 ✺
03.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	3:2 OT ✺
02.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
08.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	2:1 OT
06.03.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	3:0
05.03.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	2:6
03.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	3:2 OT
02.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	1:2 OT
30.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	1:3
23.01.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	1:5

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