Match Info

Mestis

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: PKS Areena (Joensuu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat		RoKi

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.20	3.20
	1.88	4.20	3.25
	1.91	4.06	2.98
	1.82	4.6	3.21	Watch
	1.87	3.95	2.90
	1.85	4.25	3.21
	1.79	4.20	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)	4.21 ↓ (4.57)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
49.4%

Draw
21.6%

RoKi
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

20.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

RoKi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Joensuun Kiekko Pojat - RoKi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 1.

JoKP has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

RoKi is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

RoKi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

JoKP is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, JoKP has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:66 (averaging 2.8:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for JoKP against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 26:28 goals (averaging 2.9:3.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	RoKi	8	3	3	0	2	26:15	15
7	Kiekko-Pojat	9	2	1	1	5	24:34	9

Last Results with these Odds

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.07%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

RoKi - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.6%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
Finnish Mestis
08.10.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - KeuPa	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:3 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:5 penalties ✺
26.09.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Kiekko-Vantaa	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL
- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
09.10.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	0:1 penalties ✺
03.10.26	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:3 penalties ✺
02.10.26	RoKi - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	KeuPa - RoKi	2:5 ✺
25.09.26	Nokian Pyry - RoKi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
03.10.26	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:3 penalties
27.02.26	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1
31.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	1:4
09.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	3:4 penalties
05.12.25	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:4 OT
31.10.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	6:0
04.10.25	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:5

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide