Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	RoKi U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.3	2.35
	2.06	4.07	2.81	Watch
	2	4	2.7
	1.99	4.25	2.78
	2.1	4.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.4)	4.2 ↑ (4.06)	2.61 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi U20
44.1%

Draw
21.4%

SaiPa U20
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

22.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RoKi U20's performance.

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi U20 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
09:50, 1 - 0, Surlak O. (G), Viljakainen J. (A), Tiensuu E. (A2)
11:29, 1 - 1, Svensk V. (G), Zezelj A. (A), Tauslahti M. (A2)
16:20, 1 - 2, Svensk S. (G), Zezelj A. (A), Svensk V. (A2)
18:07, 2 - 2, Puotiniemi V. (G), Strazdins R. (A), Hyytia V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:22, 3 - 2, Haataja A. (G), Maki-Runsas V. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 4)
04:26, 3 - 3, Mikonsaari V. (G), Svensk S. (A), Kaasinen S. (A2)
07:02, 3 - 4, Habjanic S. (G), Terglav D. (A),
13:28, 3 - 5, Svensk V. (G),
18:21, 3 - 6, Tauslahti M. (G), Svensk V. (A), Kytovaara E. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:50. (average 2.2:5).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 2:4.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11
17	RoKi U20	11	1	1	1	8	29:60	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoKi U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	4:5 OT ✺
03.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ilves U20 - RoKi U20	4:0 ✺
19.12.25	Tappara U20 - RoKi U20	4:5 penalties ✺
13.12.25	RoKi U20 - HPK U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLLWL
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.01.26	JYP U20 - SaiPa U20	4:5 penalties ✺
03.01.26	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Ilves U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1 ✺
12.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
02.11.24	SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20	8:3
25.10.24	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	1:4
09.12.23	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	2:1 penalties
27.10.23	SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20	4:3
04.03.23	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	4:5 OT
16.12.22	SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20	3:4 OT
17.11.22	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	4:5

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