Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	JYP U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.34	5	5
	1.45	4.99	5.09	Watch
	1.36	4.75	5.5
	1.44	4.9	5.03
	1.38	5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.93 ↓ (4.97)	5.12 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP U20
64.3%

Draw
18.2%

SaiPa U20
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

18.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

18.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for SaiPa U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for SaiPa U20 aligns with the current prediction.

JYP U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:39, 0 - 1, Zezelj A. (G), Tauslahti M. (A), Kytovaara E. (A2)
16:56, 1 - 1, Tiilikainen J. (G), Veiksola S. (A), Jolanki L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
08:35, 2 - 1, Pihlman R. (G), Aliranta E. (A), Immonen T. (A2)
17:14, 2 - 2, Kytovaara E. (G), Ronkko J. (A), Tauslahti M. (A2)
18:29, 2 - 3, Zezelj A. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:41, 3 - 3, Sinivuori E. (G),
10:03, 3 - 4, Kytovaara E. (G), Zezelj A. (A), Tauslahti M. (A2)
17:08, 4 - 4, Koivu N. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Zezelj A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Pihlman R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Mikonsaari V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Sinivuori E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kytovaara E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Koivu N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Svensk S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Immonen T. (Penalty Shot),
5, Tauslahti M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Viinikainen J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 2.

In recent matches, JYP U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SaiPa U20 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, JYP U20 is considered a favorite.

We predict that JYP U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 70:59. (average 4.1:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:37. (average 5.3:4.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Jyvaskyla U20	9	3	1	1	4	27:31	12
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - JYP U20	6:3 ✺
20.12.25	JYP U20 - Tappara U20	5:4 penalties ✺
19.12.25	JYP U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:4 penalties ✺
12.12.25	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	KalPa U20 - JYP U20	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLWW
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.01.26	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Ilves U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1 ✺
12.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 OT ✺
04.12.25	SaiPa U20 - KooKoo U20	4:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
22.11.24	JYP U20 - SaiPa U20	2:6
13.10.24	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	2:1 penalties
07.10.23	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	4:0
30.09.23	JYP U20 - SaiPa U20	7:1
22.10.22	JYP U20 - SaiPa U20	6:3
03.09.21	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	4:3 OT
25.03.21	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	3:2

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