The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Syracuse Crunch 41.7%
Draw 22.1%
Rochester Americans 36.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.3%
22.2%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
23.7%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Syracuse Crunch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Syracuse Crunch that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Sogaard M. (G)
31. Villalta M. (G)
80. Abruzzese N. (A)
73. Costantini M.
14. Allard T.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
19. Bishop C.
11. Funk Z.
23. Callahan M.
55. Geertsen M.
25. Duke D. (A)
65. Hayes Z.
61. Element S.
82. Jones C.
13. Furry B.
16. Kuntar T.
79. Gauthier E.
36. Laaouan N.
52. Groshev M.
2. McCarthy G.
82. Kralovic T.
28. McDonough A.
11. Mercuri L.
72. Meyer C. (A)
8. Miller T.
57. Mrtka R.
29. O'Reilly S.
63. Peca M. (C)
22. Pelletier J. (A)
14. Polin J.
75. Pietroniro M.
59. Richard J.
44. Steen N.
43. Sheary C. (A)
95. Szturc G.
19. Slaggert G.
28. Tinordi J.
45. Warren B.
Substitutes
33. Rodrigue O. (G)
35. Boyko T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
10:42, 0 - 1, McCarthy G. (G), Richard J. (A), Funk Z. (A2)
14:04, 0 - 2, Peca M. (G), Sheary C. (A), Jones C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:15, 1 - 2, Furry B. (G), Mercuri L. (A), Duke D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:54, 2 - 2, Gauthier E. (G), Mercuri L. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:59, 2 - 3, Kuntar T. (G), McDonough A. (A), McCarthy G. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Syracuse has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:62 (averaging 2.4:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Syracuse against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 25:26 goals (averaging 2.5:2.6 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Rochester Americans: 3.39% Syracuse Crunch: 2.74%
Last Results with these Odds
Syracuse Crunch - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.3%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Sogaard M. (G) 
Villalta M. (G) 
Abruzzese N. (A) 
Groshev M. 
Kralovic T. 
Mrtka R. 
Steen N. 
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