The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Providence Bruins 43.5%
Draw 22.9%
Utica Comets 33.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
22.4%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
23.4%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Providence Bruins's performance.
Utica Comets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utica Comets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Providence Bruins - Utica Comets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Patera J. (G)
33. Rittich D. (G)
94. Biasca A.
73. Edwards E.
18. Bisson T. P.
19. Filmon J.
11. Duran R. (A)
62. Gallant Z.
21. Eyssimont M.
29. Hameenaho L.
24. Gallagher T.
64. Klassen G.
16. Gaunce B. (A)
18. Kolyachonok V.
82. Guenette M.
20. Lachance S.
12. Halonen B.
13. Malone J.
71. Hanas C.
28. McLaughlin M. (A)
43. Harris J.
5. Morin E.
49. Ivan I.
67. Parent X.
61. Jokiharju H.
2. Powell E.
10. Locmelis D.
26. Schmelzer R. (C)
17. Mutter N.
52. Silayev A.
75. Reichel L.
12. Squires C.
8. Schmaltz J.
6. Steeves B.
6. Sweezey B. (C)
27. Tufte R. (A)
9. Tattle R.
38. Vilen T.
Substitutes
34. Zajicek S. (G)
31. Malek J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
14:01, 0 - 1, Klassen G. (G),
17:07, 1 - 1, Guenette M. (G), Duran R. (A), Biasca A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:47, 2 - 1, Biasca A. (G), Gallagher T. (A), Harris J. (A2)
01:42, 3 - 1, Eyssimont M. (G), Locmelis D. (A), Sweezey B. (A2)
02:52, 3 - 2, Malone J. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
14:43, 4 - 2, Eyssimont M. (G), Ivan I. (A), Locmelis D. (A2)
19:37, 5 - 2, Sweezey B. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
In recent outings, Providence has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Utica shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Utica could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Providence has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:54 (averaging 3.5:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Providence against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 31:24 goals (averaging 3.1:2.4 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Providence Bruins: 3.1% Utica Comets: 3.1%
Last Results with these Odds
Utica Comets - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.