Match Info

AHL

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: BMO Center (Rockford, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Rockford IceHogs		Chicago Wolves

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.2	1.91	Watch
	2.85	4.15	2.04
	2.93	4.3	2.02
	2.94	4.37	2	Watch
	2.88	4.2	1.95
	2.94	4.35	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.5)	4.26 ↑ (3.75)	1.99 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rockford IceHogs
31.8%

Draw
21.7%

Chicago Wolves
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

24.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rockford IceHogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Chicago Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Wolves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockford IceHogs than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rockford IceHogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Wolves than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Wolves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Commesso D. (G)	30. Primeau C. (G)
22. Anderson J. (A)	3. Badinka D.
36. Boucher D.	22. Brind'Amour S.
45. Engelbert J.	2. Fensore D.
61. Furlong J.	10. Gunler N.
47. Harding T.	5. Legault C.
92. Hayes G.	82. Nadeau B.
64. Hislop B.	9. Nystrom J.
43. Israels H.	15. Pavlychev N.
14. Korchinski K.	12. Philp N.
49. Lombardi K.	93. Robidas J. (A)
68. Misiak M.	8. Seeley R. (A)
26. Mylymok C.	23. Slavin J. (C)
75. Perrott A.	24. Smith G.
12. Pitlick R.	14. Sorum F. U.
51. Pouliot D.	6. Suzuki R.
67. Savoie S.	20. Turcotte Y.
62. Seney B. (C)	4. Valimaki J.
25. Toninato D. (A)	41. Vierling E.
Substitutes
39. Rodrigue O. (G)	35. Miftakhov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:40, 1 - 0, Misiak M. (G), Engelbert J. (A),
19:42, 1 - 1, Suzuki R. (G), Nadeau B. (A), Valimaki J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:17, 2 - 1, Anderson J. (G), Hayes G. (A), Harding T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:59, 3 - 1, Harding T. (G), Misiak M. (A), Pitlick R. (A2)
16:37, 4 - 1, Pitlick R. (G), Furlong J. (A), Toninato D. (A2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rockford won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Rockford has had a series of away games.

Chicago could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rockford won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:68. (average 2.9:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rockford won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 3:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Rockford IceHogs - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Chicago Wolves - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rockford IceHogs
AHL
11.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Rockford IceHogs	2:1 OT ✺
07.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs	6:4 ✺
06.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs	2:3 ✺
04.03.26	Grand Rapids Griffins - Rockford IceHogs	7:3 ✺
28.02.26	Rockford IceHogs - Hershey Bears	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLL
- Chicago Wolves
AHL
11.03.26	Chicago Wolves - Iowa Wild	2:4 ✺
08.03.26	Chicago Wolves - Texas Stars	6:7 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Chicago Wolves - Texas Stars	2:4 ✺
03.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Chicago Wolves	3:4 ✺
01.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
24.01.26	Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves	1:4
18.01.26	Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves	6:5 penalties
17.01.26	Chicago Wolves - Rockford IceHogs	5:2
09.01.26	Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves	1:3
31.12.25	Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves	2:3
26.11.25	Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves	4:8
28.10.25	Chicago Wolves - Rockford IceHogs	1:6

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