Match Info

USA: AHL

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BMO Center (Rockford, IL) 🌤️ ...


	Rockford IceHogs		Springfield Thunderbirds

	1	X	2
	2.38	4	2.25
	2.5	4.05	2.3
	2.63	4	2.31
	2.52	4.14	2.27	Watch
	2.45	3.9	2.3
	2.53	4.15	2.25	Watch
	2.5	4.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.31)	4.04 ↓ (4.06)	2.28 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rockford IceHogs
36.8%

Draw
22.8%

Springfield Thunderbirds
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

22.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

21.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rockford IceHogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockford IceHogs than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Rockford IceHogs - Springfield Thunderbirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gaudreau B. (G)	1. Zherenko V. (G)
22. Anderson J.	17. Alexandrov N.
89. Athanasiou A.	16. Bolduc Z.
63. Cates J.	9. Buchinger M.
38. Del Mastro E.	24. Dickinson T.
20. Fitzgerald C. (A)	15. Dvorsky D.
74. Gagnier R.	44. Harrington S.
70. Guttman C. (A)	8. Johannesson S.
44. Kaiser W.	41. Kaskimaki A.
14. Korchinski K.	3. Kessel M.
93. Kuzmin D.	39. Luff M.
55. Levshunov A.	19. MacEachern M.
90. Ludwinski P.	33. Malmstrom A.
43. Luypen J.	11. McGing H.
53. Marcel M.	63. Peca M. (C)
26. Mayhew G.	22. Peterson D.
12. Sanford Z.	26. Robertsson S.
67. Savoie S.	55. Skinner H.
62. Seney B. (C)	28. Stenberg O.
Substitutes
80. Weeks M. (G)	31. Ellis C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
01:04, 1 - 0, Anderson J. (G), Athanasiou A. (A),
18:17, 1 - 1, Luff M. (G), Kessel M. (A), Alexandrov N. (A2)
18:49, 2 - 1, Seney B. (G), Korchinski K. (A), Levshunov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:19, 3 - 1, Anderson J. (G), Athanasiou A. (A), Kaiser W. (A2)
12:55, 3 - 2, McGing H. (G), Luff M. (A),
14:56, 3 - 3, Peca M. (G), Kaskimaki A. (A), Dvorsky D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:01, 4 - 3, Athanasiou A. (G), Anderson J. (A), Fitzgerald C. (A2)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Springfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Springfield have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rockford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:11 (average 2.3:3.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Rockford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:7

Last Results with these Odds

Rockford IceHogs - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.9%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rockford IceHogs
AHL
14.02.25	Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves	6:3 ✺
11.02.25	Rockford IceHogs - Milwaukee Admirals	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Texas Stars - Rockford IceHogs	4:3 ✺
07.02.25	Texas Stars - Rockford IceHogs	6:3 ✺
01.02.25	Rockford IceHogs - Milwaukee Admirals	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW
- Springfield Thunderbirds
AHL
13.02.25	Milwaukee Admirals - Springfield Thunderbirds	5:4 ✺
12.02.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Springfield Thunderbirds	1:4 ✺
08.02.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins	5:2 ✺
07.02.25	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:2 penalties ✺
01.02.25	Iowa Wild - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.12.24	Springfield Thunderbirds - Rockford IceHogs	2:1 OT
20.01.23	Rockford IceHogs - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:7
02.12.22	Springfield Thunderbirds - Rockford IceHogs	2:4

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