Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: MassMutual Center (Springfield, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Springfield Thunderbirds		Providence Bruins

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.2	1.77	Watch
	3.2	4.1	1.91
	3.33	4.25	1.86
	3.37	4.44	1.83	Watch
	3.25	4.2	1.8
	3.33	4.37	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	4.26 ↓ (4.32)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Springfield Thunderbirds
28.1%

Draw
21.7%

Providence Bruins
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

21.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

21.1%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Providence Bruins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Springfield will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Romanov G. (G)	30. DiPietro M. (G)
9. Buchinger M.	47. Abate J.
17. Carbonneau J.	18. Blumel M.
14. Dean Z.	38. Brown P. (C)
29. Dube D.	42. Brunet F.
45. Gaudet M.	23. Callahan M.
3. Jiricek A.	11. Duran R.
11. McGing H. (A)	26. Farinacci J.
37. Newpower W.	24. Gallagher T.
18. Pekarcik J.	22. Lysell F.
5. Ralph C.	10. Merkulov G. (A)
26. Robertsson S.	17. Mutter N.
43. Rosen C. (A)	21. Poitras M.
49. Stancl J.	75. Reichel L.
25. Stange S.	20. Riedell W.
28. Stenberg O.	8. Schmaltz J.
16. Thomas A.	6. Sweezey B. (A)
77. Trudeau F.	27. Tufte R.
88. Wagner C. (C)	13. Wanner M.
Substitutes
1. Zherenko V. (G)	34. Zajicek S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:01, 1 - 0, Dube D. (G),

Preview

Springfield Thunderbirds leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 3.

Springfield is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Providence is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Providence may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Springfield has had a series of away games.

Providence could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Springfield will win today's game, with odds of 3.29.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:53. (average 2.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 2.1:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Providence Bruins - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.14%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Springfield Thunderbirds
AHL
05.05.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins	3:2 OT ✺
03.05.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	1:2 OT ✺
24.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WLWWW
- Providence Bruins
AHL
05.05.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins	3:2 OT ✺
03.05.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Providence Bruins - Utica Comets	2:4 ✺
17.04.26	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
05.05.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins	3:2 OT
03.05.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:1
01.05.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:3
12.04.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	1:0
29.03.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:4
25.03.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins	1:2
15.03.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:4

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