The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Springfield Thunderbirds 36.1%
Draw 22.8%
Providence Bruins 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44%
21.9%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
22.8%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Springfield Thunderbirds's form might have worsened.
Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Providence Bruins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Springfield Thunderbirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Providence Bruins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Providence (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Providence (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Romanov G. (G)
31. Patera J. (G)
9. Buchinger M.
94. Biasca A.
8. Carbonneau J.
18. Bisson T. P.
37. Finley J.
5. Bongiovanni W.
6. Fischer L.
11. Duran R.
45. Gaudet M.
21. Eyssimont M.
13. Kessy K.
24. Gallagher T.
48. Koromyslov A.
16. Gaunce B. (A)
18. Pekarcik J.
12. Halonen B.
22. Peterson D.
71. Hanas C.
5. Ralph C.
43. Harris J.
26. Robertsson S.
49. Ivan I.
43. Rosen C.
61. Jokiharju H.
21. Stancl J.
10. Locmelis D.
28. Stenberg O.
29. Merisier-Ortiz C.
70. Sundqvist O.
75. Reichel L.
77. Trudeau F.
8. Schmaltz J.
17. Tynan T.J.
46. Steeves A. (A)
12. Walker N.
6. Sweezey B. (C)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:53, 0 - 1, Halonen B. (G), Gallagher T. (A), Schmaltz J. (A2)
02:20, 1 - 1, Kessy K. (G), Pekarcik J. (A), Buchinger M. (A2)
12:42, 2 - 1, Walker N. (G), Koromyslov A. (A), Ralph C. (A2)
17:58, 3 - 1, Walker N. (G), Tynan T.J. (A), Carbonneau J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 4)
00:42, 4 - 1, Sundqvist O. (G), Stancl J. (A),
04:16, 4 - 2, Eyssimont M. (G), Ivan I. (A),
14:03, 5 - 2, Stancl J. (G), Gaudet M. (A), Pekarcik J. (A2)
14:46, 5 - 3, Gallagher T. (G), Harris J. (A), Eyssimont M. (A2)
16:54, 5 - 4, Ivan I. (G), Eyssimont M. (A), Duran R. (A2)
19:58, 5 - 5, Gaunce B. (G), Gallagher T. (A), Halonen B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:27, 5 - 6, Reichel L. (G), Gaunce B. (A),
18:32, 6 - 6, Carbonneau J. (G), Walker N. (A), Tynan T.J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:11, 6 - 7, Ivan I. (G), Locmelis D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Springfield (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Providence have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Springfield has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:51 (averaging 2.1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Springfield against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 20:23 goals (averaging 2.2:2.6 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Providence Bruins: 3.1% Springfield Thunderbirds: 1.74%
Last Results with these Odds
Providence Bruins - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.08%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Romanov G. (G) 
Patera J. (G) 
Buchinger M. 
Biasca A. 
Bongiovanni W. 
Pekarcik J. 
Robertsson S. 
Jokiharju H. 
Locmelis D. 
Reichel L. 
Walker N. 
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