Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.53	4.83	Watch
	1.52	4.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)	4.52 ↓ (4.93)	4.54 ↓ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
59.5%

Draw
20.3%

Rostov
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

14.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM's form might have worsened.

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AKM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

AKM - Rostov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Pastukh V. (G)	20. Puzyakov M. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (A)	94. Voronin N.
71. Zaitsev D.	11. Tsalpanov Y.
28. Tsybin M. (A)	17. Smolyov I.
77. Sharifyanov T.	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
36. Shumilin Y.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 2
23. Yuzbashyan R.	49. Balanov Y. (A)
85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)	47. Krikunov V.
94. Mitrofanov A.	78. Kondyrev K.
90. Komissarov L.	25. Sedantsov O.
86. Ignatov S.	26. Urulin S. (A)
Line 3
67. Ivanov G.	44. Grishin P.
38. Bulygin D.	5. Makarov S.
10. Nazarov M.	9. Myagkov V.
13. Bryntsev M.	32. Barsukov T.
15. Yermakov Y.	73. Prokhorov A.
Line 4
79. Shulenin G.	6. Gapochkin R.
3. Zhurakov D.	15. Kuznetsov A.
33. Gorodetsky B.	23. Kamensky Y.
63. Vakhrushev N.	28. Klimov D.
29. Kaburov G.
Substitutes
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:47, 0 - 1, Myagkov V. (G), Prokhorov A. (A),
18:00, 1 - 1, Komissarov L. (G), Kaburov G. (A), Puchkov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:40, 2 - 1, Puchkov Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 3.

Recent form of AKM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rostov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AKM has had a series of away games.

In this match, AKM is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, AKM won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 3.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 3.3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 5.83 are the expected chance of winning is 15.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
24.12.25	AKM - Tambov	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	Omskie Krylia - AKM	6:1 ✺
17.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	6:1 ✺
15.12.25	Rubin Tyumen - AKM	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- HC Rostov
VHL
24.12.25	Ryazan - Rostov	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Dizel Penza - Rostov	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Rostov	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Rostov - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
14.12.25	Rostov - CSK VVS Samara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.11.25	Rostov - AKM	2:7
08.03.25	AKM - Rostov	1:2
16.09.24	Rostov - AKM	8:4
13.01.24	Rostov - AKM	0:2
10.10.23	AKM - Rostov	5:2
23.01.23	Rostov - AKM	1:4
28.09.22	AKM - Rostov	5:4 OT

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