Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.86	5.47	Watch
	1.43	4.5	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.68 ↓ (4.9)	5.36 ↓ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
63.3%

Draw
19.6%

Rostov
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.1%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

18.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Dizel Penza - Rostov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kudashev D. (G)	20. Puzyakov M. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	94. Voronin N.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	11. Tsalpanov Y.
87. Karapetyan D.	17. Smolyov I.
11. Makhanovsky P. (A)	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
71. Kolmykov M.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 2
7. Spitsenko K.	49. Balanov Y. (A)
6. Lukichyov A.	47. Krikunov V.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	9. Myagkov V.
47. Bobylyov V.	25. Sedantsov O.
97. Borisenkov A.	26. Urulin S. (A)
Line 3
98. Lyulko V.	44. Grishin P.
83. Sukhov S.	5. Makarov S.
41. Lukin V.	64. Sorokin S.
95. Pochivalov D.	78. Kondyrev K.
10. Popov D.	88. Voloskov G.
Line 4
36. Gafarov G.	6. Gapochkin R.
72. Shvangiradze D.	15. Kuznetsov A.
81. Kalmykov D.	32. Barsukov T.
69. Boluchevsky A.	73. Prokhorov A.
34. Larichev V.
Substitutes
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:15, 1 - 0, Kolmykov M. (G), Makhanovsky P. (A), Karapetyan D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dizel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 53:24. (average 3.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
20.12.25	Dizel Penza - Tambov	3:5 ✺
15.12.25	Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	1:3 ✺
11.12.25	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	4:2 ✺
09.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dizel Penza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLW
- HC Rostov
VHL
20.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Rostov	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Rostov - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
14.12.25	Rostov - CSK VVS Samara	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Rostov - Chelny	3:0 ✺
10.12.25	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.11.25	Rostov - Dizel Penza	0:5
15.01.25	Rostov - Dizel Penza	0:3
07.11.24	Dizel Penza - Rostov	2:1 OT
04.02.24	Rostov - Dizel Penza	1:7
18.09.23	Dizel Penza - Rostov	2:0
08.12.22	Rostov - Dizel Penza	1:2 OT
07.11.22	Dizel Penza - Rostov	3:4

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