Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	3.54	4.05	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.32)	3.95 ↑ (3.72)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
26.5%

Draw
23.2%

Toros Neftekamsk
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

24.6%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Toros will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)
94. Voronin N.	85. Budnitsky V. (A)
11. Tsalpanov Y.	3. Shatilo I.
17. Smolyov I.	44. Khvorov N.
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	22. Sorokin Y. (A)
95. Korbit Y.	79. Nabiev A.
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
47. Krikunov V.	9. Orlov G.
78. Kondyrev K.	56. Suvorov A.
25. Sedantsov O.	25. Valeyev T.
26. Urulin S. (A)	24. Andreichenko V.
Line 3
44. Grishin P.	96. Gazimov I.
6. Gapochkin R.	52. Kolganov A.
9. Myagkov V.	17. Sychyov V.
32. Barsukov T.	81. Volokitin P.
73. Prokhorov A.	14. Chyorny A.
Line 4
55. Machugin D.	36. Gunkin Y.
64. Sorokin S.	10. Kolesnikov S.
23. Kamensky Y.	72. Zavizhsky M.
28. Klimov D.	38. Skoropad N.
Substitutes
31. Kapustin K. (G)	30. Zhigalov I. (G)
70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
18:00, 1 - 0, Smolyov I. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A),
19:07, 1 - 1, Sychyov V. (G), Volokitin P. (A), Chyorny A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:57, 1 - 2, Gazimov I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Toros has had a series of home games.

Toros could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 2.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 2.3:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Toros Neftekamsk	12	6	0	2	4	30:29	14

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
08.01.26	Rostov - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	AKM - Rostov	2:1 OT ✺
24.12.25	Ryazan - Rostov	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Dizel Penza - Rostov	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Rostov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWLL
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
08.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4 ✺
28.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:0 ✺
24.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
22.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rostov	2:1
26.02.25	Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0
26.09.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Rostov	6:1
29.01.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Rostov	2:1
30.09.23	Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4
01.12.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Rostov	4:3
16.11.22	Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4

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