Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Molot Sports Hall (Perm)


	Molot Perm		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.82	2.49	Watch
	2.2	4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.22)	3.91 ↑ (3.58)	2.47 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
39.4%

Draw
23.4%

Zauralie Kurgan
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zauralie Kurgan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Guskov Y. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
12. Glukhov N. (C)	77. Belyakov F.
83. Basistyj K.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
34. Mikhasyonok V.	99. Kolesnikov S.
13. Yabelov D.	34. Tagirov K.
51. Kitsyn M. (A)	13. Ugolnikov A.
Line 2
58. Shumilov V.	16. Avvakumov I.
55. Kozhevnikov A.	67. Vasilyev K.
15. Zenchikov I.	11. Ryzhov K.
10. Plastinin V. (A)	78. Komaristy A. (A)
81. Galimzyanov R.	87. Nizovtsev S.
Line 3
42. Labutkin Y.	43. Ugolnikov A. (A)
9. Pirogov I.	48. Denisevich B.
19. Rogovsky I.	51. Shipin D.
88. Tesanov D.	93. Kozlov I. (C)
92. Kazakov M.	7. Baldayev D.
Line 4
59. Sokolov N.	37. Afridanov I.
72. Arzhanov D.	97. Bogdanov A.
71. Kolesnikov Y.	12. Kovyazin I.
22. Sinyavsky P.	74. Govorkov M.
Substitutes
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)	30. Yeryomin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
13:00, 0 - 1, Shipin D. (G), Denisevich B. (A),
14:47, 1 - 1, Sinyavsky P. (G), Kolesnikov Y. (A), Arzhanov D. (A2)
16:52, 1 - 2, Ugolnikov A. (G), Komaristy A. (A),
17:55, 2 - 2, Kitsyn M. (G), Mikhasyonok V. (A), Basistyj K. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:28, 3 - 2, Kazakov M. (G), Tesanov D. (A),
11:50, 4 - 2, Kozhevnikov A. (G), Kolesnikov Y. (A), Plastinin V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:23, 4 - 3, Govorkov M. (G), Belyakov F. (A), Shipin D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Molot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molot won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 55:43. (average 2.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 2.9:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Molot Perm - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.32%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.46%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
20.12.25	Molot Perm - Rubin Tyumen	0:4 ✺
18.12.25	Molot Perm - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	2:3 penalties ✺
11.12.25	Khimik - Molot Perm	6:1 ✺
09.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Molot Perm	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLW
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
17.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	6:1 ✺
15.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	1:3 ✺
11.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Kristall Saratov	1:4 ✺
05.12.25	AKM - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm	3:2
02.03.25	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2
20.09.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.24	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	6:2
VHL
12.02.24	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	2:5
08.09.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm	2:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.23	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	0:2

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