Match Info

VHL

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	3.68	4.15	1.81	Watch
	3.75	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.25)	4.08 ↑ (4.03)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
24.7%

Draw
22.6%

Izhstal
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

22.8%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

22.2%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Rostov - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	33. Lysenkov N. (G)
6. Gapochkin R.	81. Glinsky M.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
17. Smolyov I.	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	10. Astashevsky S.
95. Korbit Y.	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	50. Zhdanov Y.
47. Krikunov V.	3. Yuzlenko Y.
78. Kondyrev K.	60. Yakovlev P.
25. Sedantsov O.	27. Pukelo K.
26. Urulin S. (A)	99. Ogirchuk D.
Line 3
44. Grishin P.	11. Slepkov I.
5. Makarov S.	23. Glebov G. (C)
9. Myagkov V.	78. Sokolov S.
32. Barsukov T.	57. Yepishchev I.
73. Prokhorov A.	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 4
55. Machugin D.	45. Nazarko A.
64. Sorokin S.	21. Pugachyov A.
23. Kamensky Y.	36. Poyarkov D.
28. Klimov D.	59. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
31. Kapustin K. (G)	70. Shilov A.
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:52, 1 - 0, Makarov S. (G), Barsukov T. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
03:44, 2 - 0, Smolyov I. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A), Korbit Y. (A2)
05:50, 3 - 0, Smolyov I. (G), Tsalpanov Y. (A),
08:43, 3 - 1, Dolgopyatov N. (G),
15:09, 3 - 2, Yepishchev I. (G),
19:48, 4 - 2, Sergiyevsky Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2.

Recent performances by Rostov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Izhstal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Izhstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of home games.

Izhstal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 2.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.24%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
26.12.25	AKM - Rostov	2:1 OT ✺
24.12.25	Ryazan - Rostov	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Dizel Penza - Rostov	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Rostov	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Rostov - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWLLW
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
06.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Izhstal	0:4 ✺
28.12.25	Izhstal - Omskie Krylia	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	Izhstal - Rubin Tyumen	1:0 OT ✺
22.12.25	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.11.25	Izhstal - Rostov	3:1
24.02.25	Rostov - Izhstal	4:3 OT
28.09.24	Izhstal - Rostov	2:6
25.01.24	Izhstal - Rostov	4:1
26.09.23	Rostov - Izhstal	1:2
27.11.22	Izhstal - Rostov	4:3 OT
20.11.22	Rostov - Izhstal	3:0

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