Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Dvorana Sporta (Ryazan)


	Ryazan		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.31	3.69	1.94
	4.04	4.04	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.22)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ryazan
25.3%

Draw
24.1%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

24.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
98. Lubsky M. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)
51. Kramarenko Y.	8. Naumov V. (A)
35. Alyaev A.	51. Mineyev M.
13. Korostelyov M.	88. Shalagin M.
38. Shipov I.	40. Apalkov D. (C)
11. Rakhimullin D.	33. Shablovsky Z.
Line 2
88. Faizullin A.	54. Chibrikov I.
17. Trishin A.	77. Vinogradov A.
23. Alexeyev Y.	17. Sokolov D.
87. Mingaleyev D.	89. Guslistov N. (A)
22. Lapin A.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
90. Salov Y.	47. Churkin V.
34. Zotov F.	75. Starikov L.
73. Leshchenko V.	71. Grzheletsky M.
19. Kozlov G.	24. Khrapov F.
24. Akhunov T.	18. Serdyuk Y.
Line 4
9. Sidnev K.	12. Kryukov T.
72. Pereskokov V.	9. Belov D.
55. Kondyrev K.	86. Piskunov P.
33. Kabanov M.	50. Kurbatov V.
	14. Mikhalyov V.
Substitutes
30. Korzin Y. (G)	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:35, 1 - 0, Kabanov M. (G), Sidnev K. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:52, 1 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Apalkov D. (A),
14:51, 2 - 1, Trishin A. (G), Lapin A. (A), Mingaleyev D. (A2)
19:59, 3 - 1, Alexeyev Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 3.

Ryazan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metallurg N is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Metallurg N is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 44:55. (average 2.6:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryazan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 2.6:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ryazan - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 29.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.2%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ryazan
VHL
11.11.25	Ryazan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:2 penalties ✺
09.11.25	Ryazan - Norilsk	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	SKA-VMF - Ryazan	5:2 ✺
01.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ryazan	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
11.11.25	Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:0 ✺
30.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.01.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ryazan	2:1
31.10.24	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5
01.02.24	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:3
17.09.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ryazan	3:4
09.01.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ryazan	1:4
14.10.22	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 OT
27.01.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ryazan	1:0 OT

Upcoming Matches