Match Info

VHL

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Dvorana Sporta (Ryazan)


	Ryazan		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.7	3.22
	1.98	4.1	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.24)	3.9 ↓ (3.92)	3.18 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryazan
47%

Draw
23.8%

Norilsk
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

23.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

24.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryazan's performance.

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryazan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norilsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ryazan - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
98. Lubsky M. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
35. Alyaev A.	18. Alexeyev D.
51. Kramarenko Y.	43. Ugolnikov A.
13. Korostelyov M.	13. Kaletnik V.
38. Shipov I.	63. Yemets I.
72. Pereskokov V.	71. Golodnyuk S.
Line 2
17. Trishin A.	51. Popov O.
88. Faizullin A.	72. Korchemkin D.
22. Lapin A.	56. Mokin N.
23. Alekseevich Y.	89. Gorbunov D.
87. Mingaleyev D.	93. Korenev I.
Line 3
34. Zotov F.	28. Makeyev N.
90. Salov Y.	64. Minayev Y.
19. Kozlov G.	11. Shevchenko V.
68. Mikheyev Y.	69. Skorikov D.
73. Leshchenko V.	74. Lapshin I.
Line 4
9. Sidnev K.	79. Chebykin Y.
11. Rakhimullin D.	55. Alkhimov S.
24. Akhunov T.	58. Yadykin Y.
55. Kondyrev K.	97. Leontyev A.
Substitutes
30. Korzin Y. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:54, 1 - 0, Korostelyov M. (G), Trishin A. (A), Faizullin A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
15:52, 1 - 1, Skorikov D. (G), Mokin N. (A), Kaletnik V. (A2)
16:26, 2 - 1, Korostelyov M. (G), Trishin A. (A), Pereskokov V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:54, 3 - 1, Rakhimullin D. (G), Alekseevich Y. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ryazan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ryazan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 3:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryazan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 3.3:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ryazan
VHL
03.11.25	SKA-VMF - Ryazan	5:2 ✺
01.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ryazan	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
23.10.25	Ryazan - Chelny	3:4 OT ✺
21.10.25	Ryazan - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
07.11.25	Dizel Penza - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Norilsk - Izhstal	0:5 ✺
27.10.25	Norilsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 OT ✺
25.10.25	Norilsk - Molot Perm	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.25	Ryazan - Norilsk	2:3 OT
VHL
25.01.25	Norilsk - Ryazan	2:3
27.10.24	Ryazan - Norilsk	4:3 penalties
27.12.23	Ryazan - Norilsk	4:5
15.10.23	Norilsk - Ryazan	4:2

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