Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.68	3.28
	2.03	4.05	3.04	Watch
	2	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.83 ↓ (4)	3.24 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
46.8%

Draw
24.4%

Norilsk
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

23.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

23.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+1%)

SKA VMF - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
5. Yarullin A.	28. Makeyev N.
14. Shekhovtsov Y.	98. Abdeyev I. (A)
38. Gurzanov Y. (C)	71. Golodnyuk S.
19. Zinchenko I. (A)	89. Gorbunov D. (A)
17. Kabush M.	93. Korenev I.
Line 2
68. Beshkorov K.	72. Korchemkin D.
84. Vydrenkov I. (A)	51. Popov O.
89. Surayev N.	91. Lazarev A.
24. Sharov A.	74. Lapshin I.
83. Shamshurin S.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 3
63. Anisimov S.	64. Minayev Y.
80. Gryaznov G.	21. Kolomiytsev I.
97. Nugmanov A.	97. Leontyev A.
18. Nedopyokin N.	58. Yadykin Y.
91. Lutfullin I.	63. Yemets I.
Line 4
10. Ignatov I.	79. Chebykin Y.
88. Lazutin D.	56. Mokin N. (C)
23. Osipov G.	17. Dergunov P.
	19. Aksenov A.
Substitutes
82. Mamaladze D.	37. Botov M. (G)
74. Podlyagin N. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
11:27, 1 - 0, Nedopyokin N. (G), Lutfullin I. (A),
15:02, 2 - 0, Vydrenkov I. (G), Lutfullin I. (A), Nedopyokin N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:39, 3 - 0, Nedopyokin N. (G),
11:03, 4 - 0, Shamshurin S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 1.

In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Norilsk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.

Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.

SKA-VMF could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 3.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 3.5:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
17.11.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	CSK VVS Samara - SKA-VMF	6:1 ✺
13.11.25	Chelny - SKA-VMF	1:4 ✺
11.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	5:1 ✺
05.11.25	SKA-VMF - AKM	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
28.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
21.11.25	Norilsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:5 ✺
19.11.25	Norilsk - Chelny	3:6 ✺
17.11.25	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.25	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	3:0
VHL
23.02.25	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	3:6
29.09.24	Norilsk - SKA-VMF	5:3
25.12.23	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	1:3
19.10.23	Norilsk - SKA-VMF	3:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.23	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	7:2

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