The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rubin Tyumen 49.4%
Draw 23.4%
CSK VVS Samara 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
22.3%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
23%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Tyumen's form might have worsened.
CSK VVS Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Tyumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Rubin Tyumen - CSK VVS Samara Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - CSK VVS (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CSK VVS (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
08:22, 0 - 1, Vladimirov N. (G), Galimov A. (A), Gorbunov K. (A2)
14:16, 1 - 1, Meshcheryakov M. (G), Kandakov D. (A), Brinkmann A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:47, 2 - 1, Babenko Y. (G), Meshkov P. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:26, 2 - 2, Morozov Y. (G), Kabanov M. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Anop D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kandakov D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Reingardt I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Koshurnikov K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Petrov G. (Penalty Shot),
3, Babenko Y. (Penalty Shot),
4, Zhurakov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kanitsky Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Kabanov M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Meshkov P. (Penalty Shot),
6, Davydov D. (Penalty Shot),
6, Anop D. (Penalty Shot),
7, Popov Y. (Penalty Shot),
7, Petrov G. (Penalty Shot),
8, Meshkov P. (Penalty Shot),
8, Anop D. (Penalty Shot),
9, Kandakov D. (Penalty Shot),
9, Petrov G. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 5.
Rubin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
CSK VVS has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 55:16. (average 4.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:9. (average 4.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Rubin Tyumen - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.