Match Info

VHL

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen)


	Rubin Tyumen		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	1.9	4	3.44	Watch
	1.94	3.61	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)	3.81 ↓ (4.4)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
47.9%

Draw
24.2%

Izhstal
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

21.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

20.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Rubin Tyumen - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	43. Volkov G. (G)
11. Popov Y.	81. Glinsky M.
12. Lyutov D.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
78. Meshkov P.	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
10. Petrakov I.	10. Astashevsky S.
80. Koshurnikov K.	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
28. Tsyganov D.	50. Zhdanov Y.
55. Stikhanovsky M.	23. Glebov G. (C)
27. Davydov D.	60. Yakovlev P.
9. Ivanov S.	27. Pukelo K.
23. Lazarev M.	99. Ogirchuk D.
Line 3
7. Brinkmann A.	45. Nazarko A.
24. Kolganov I.	76. Khairulin T.
43. Voronkov P.	29. Kruzhenkov Y.
57. Kanitsky Y.	57. Yepishchev I.
8. Bryutov N.	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 4
93. Vashchenko N.	78. Sokolov S.
66. Piliya D.	11. Slepkov I.
85. Styozhkin I.	21. Pugachyov A.
3. Ivanov Y. D.	36. Poyarkov D.
	59. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:53, 0 - 1, Astashevsky S. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 4)
02:44, 0 - 2, Petrikov Y. (G), Kruzhenkov Y. (A), Yepishchev I. (A2)
11:13, 0 - 3, Poyarkov D. (G), Pugachyov A. (A),
11:46, 1 - 3, Popov Y. (G), Koshurnikov K. (A), Meshkov P. (A2)
14:22, 1 - 4, Dyuryagin D. (G), Astashevsky S. (A),
16:50, 1 - 5, Glinsky M. (G), Yerofeyev A. (A), Yakovlev P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
10:37, 1 - 6, Nazarko A. (G),
11:27, 1 - 7, Yerofeyev A. (G),
17:28, 2 - 7, Ivanov Y. D. (G), Styozhkin I. (A), Piliya D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4.

Rubin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Izhstal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Izhstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 58:35. (average 2.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 2.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.5%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Izhstal - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.24%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
19.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 ✺
17.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Molot Perm	3:2 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:3 penalties ✺
09.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
19.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
14.11.25	Izhstal - Buran Voronezh	3:1 ✺
12.11.25	Izhstal - Rostov	3:1 ✺
10.11.25	Izhstal - Tambov	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.08.25	Rubin Tyumen - Izhstal	0:1 penalties
12.08.25	Rubin Tyumen - Izhstal	3:2
VHL
28.02.25	Izhstal - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 penalties
22.09.24	Rubin Tyumen - Izhstal	4:1
19.12.23	Izhstal - Rubin Tyumen	2:3
21.10.23	Rubin Tyumen - Izhstal	3:1
11.01.23	Rubin Tyumen - Izhstal	4:0

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