Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen)


	Rubin Tyumen		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.86	2.57	Watch
	2.25	3.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.9)	3.86 ↓ (3.93)	2.51 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
39.7%

Draw
23.8%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

23.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

26.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Tyumen's form might have worsened.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magnitka Magnitogorsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Tyumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magnitka Magnitogorsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Rubin Tyumen - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Magnitka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
63. Perelyavev S.	94. Romanov R.
12. Lyutov D.	37. Gololobov D.
27. Davydov D.	36. Mastryukov A.
10. Petrakov I.	15. Grass M.
80. Koshurnikov K.	9. Boltanov A. (A)
Line 2
28. Tsyganov D.	32. Shetle E.
55. Stikhanovsky M.	4. Zhloba N. (C)
53. Voevodin D.	74. Zhugin V.
9. Ivanov S.	13. Zimin N. (A)
23. Lazarev M.	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
48. Isaev I.	21. Yegorov A.
7. Brinkmann A.	7. Timashov N.
43. Voronkov P.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
57. Kanitsky Y.	97. Galenyuk M.
8. Bryutov N.	18. Tyutnev P.
Line 4
76. Kartashov A.	63. Vaulin M.
35. Vdovin Y.	95. Osipovich B.
66. Piliya D.	43. Penzin Y.
85. Styozhkin I.	77. Kuzyakin A.
3. Ivanov Y. D.
Substitutes
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)
	93. Nechayev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
17:58, 0 - 1, Nechayev I. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:43, 0 - 2, Yegorov A. (G), Nechayev I. (A), Tyutnev P. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:51, 0 - 3, Mirzabalayev A. (G),
07:14, 0 - 4, Galenyuk M. (G),

Preview

Rubin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Magnitka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Magnitka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Magnitka has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rubin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11
22	Rubin Tyumen	10	2	3	0	5	22:27	10

Last Results with these Odds

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
10.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
28.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 ✺
26.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:0 ✺
24.12.25	Izhstal - Rubin Tyumen	1:0 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
10.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
27.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Khimik	5:7 ✺
23.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:1
30.01.25	Rubin Tyumen - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 OT
21.10.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Rubin Tyumen	0:1

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