Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Ugra (Khanty-Mansiysk)


	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.14	4.09	Watch
	1.66	3.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	4 ↓ (4.18)	4.05 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
54.3%

Draw
23%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

21.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Yugra Khanty Mansiysk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)
4. Yelizarov A. (A)	21. Yegorov A.
89. Teryayev S. (C)	37. Gololobov D.
11. Popov A.	36. Mastryukov A.
81. Spiridonov Y.	15. Grass M.
37. Udot A.	9. Boltanov A. (A)
Line 2
67. Afanasyev M.	32. Shetle E.
57. Sevostyanov A.	4. Zhloba N. (C)
33. Maklozyan Y.	74. Zhugin V.
15. Busarov G. (A)	13. Zimin N. (A)
66. Belyayev M.	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
79. Savelyev A.	7. Timashov N.
47. Medvedev P.	28. Zhukov K.
28. Kazakov M.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
80. Maltsev M.	18. Tyutnev P.
13. Kadyshev K.	93. Nechayev I.
Line 4
44. Shevtsov V.	95. Osipovich B.
70. Rasseikin M.	94. Romanov R.
17. Podkorytov A.	38. Mikhnin D.
91. Makeyev A.	97. Galenyuk M.
	98. Fursa A.
Substitutes
92. Gurevich I.	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
50. Sokhatsky V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:47, 0 - 1, Tyutnev P. (G), Nechayev I. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:26, 1 - 1, Popov A. (G), Podkorytov A. (A), Afanasyev M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Maltsev M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Grass M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Busarov G. (Penalty Shot),
2, Boltanov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Makeyev A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gololobov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kazakov M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tyutnev P. (Penalty Shot),
5, Podkorytov A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Nechayev I. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Yugra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Magnitka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Magnitka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Magnitka has had a series of home games.

In this match, Yugra is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Yugra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
19	HC Yugra	11	4	2	0	5	20:17	12
20	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11

Last Results with these Odds

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.1%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
08.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelmet	6:3 ✺
06.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 ✺
24.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
22.12.25	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
27.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Khimik	5:7 ✺
23.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
12.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Gornyak-UGMK	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:1
01.02.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:2 penalties
19.10.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3

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