Match Info

VHL

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Krytyy detskiy ledovyy dvorets sporta (Magnitogorsk)


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.1	3.58	Watch
	1.74	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	4.05 ↓ (4.08)	3.54 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
51.3%

Draw
22.7%

Zvezda Moscow
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

22.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
23. Amirbekov J. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)
21. Yegorov A.	6. Gordeyev M.
37. Gololobov D.	48. Barantsev D.
36. Mastryukov A.	77. Solovyov Y.
15. Grass M.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
9. Boltanov A. (A)	87. Yapparov Y.
Line 2
7. Timashov N.	8. Bobryashov N.
28. Zhukov K. (A)	49. Bryutov Y.
74. Zhugin V.	23. Khulapov D.
13. Zimin N. (C)	62. Shalyshkin N.
88. Rybin I.	56. Vlasenko D.
Line 3
51. Poltavchuk N.	3. Sidorov M. (A)
32. Shetle E.	32. Rogov I.
31. Mirzabalayev A.	52. Poroshkov D.
18. Tyutnev P.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
38. Mikhnin D.	42. Savvateyev V.
Line 4
43. Penzin Y.	82. Smyshlyayev P.
94. Romanov R.	95. Vasin M.
95. Osipovich B.	75. Averochkin M.
97. Galenyuk M.	79. Dronyk V.
98. Fursa A.
Substitutes
20. Kramzin Y. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:15, 0 - 1, Vlasenko D. (G), Barantsev D. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Magnitka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Magnitka has had a series of home games.

Magnitka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Magnitka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 24.9%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
25.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Khimik	5:7 ✺
23.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
12.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Gornyak-UGMK	7:3 ✺
10.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
25.12.25	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	2:4 ✺
23.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
15.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:1
16.02.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:2
05.10.24	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:0

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