Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Russkie Vityazi		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.57	2.04
	2.8	4.15	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.48)	4.36 ↓ (4.9)	2.07 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Russkie Vityazi
33.4%

Draw
21.4%

Krylya Sovetov
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

19.1%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

18%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Russkie Vityazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Russkie Vityazi's performance.

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krylya Sovetov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Russkie Vityazi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Astakhov M. (G)	74. Stepin N. (G)
29. Vanin G. (C)	13. Kashayev E. (A)
6. Vasiliev Y.	32. Bondar V. (C)
77. Bashlykov Y.	91. Smirnov M.
11. Ilyichyov M.	26. Mylnikov N.
58. Zhirov S. (A)	94. Korolyuk V.
Line 2
92. Ignatov N.	25. Gusev N.
12. Istomin L.	86. Korniyenko A.
62. Marchenko T.	45. Mukhtarov D.
49. Soshnikov A.	98. Kolesnikov K.
99. Saranov P.	8. Kovalishin M.
Line 3
76. Fomenko Z. (A)	3. Zatsepin V.
45. Redyuk G.	69. Gagiyev K.
81. Sulima V.	87. Shablov A. (A)
85. Drozdov V.	71. Bykov A.
17. Sklyarenko A.	22. Polezhayev V.
Line 4
70. Kryuk S.	55. Rtishchev A.
94. Fatkullin D.	7. Glushkov A.
71. Babayev Y.	17. Andreyev Y.
47. Krayushkin M.	96. Gusniyev A.
	19. Ovchinnikov Y.
Substitutes
89. Khvatov M.	20. Korneyev S. (G)
32. Smirnov L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
07:15, 0 - 1, Kovalishin M. (G), Bondar V. (A),
13:30, 1 - 1, Zhirov S. (G), Vanin G. (A), Bashlykov Y. (A2)
18:32, 2 - 1, Marchenko T. (G), Soshnikov A. (A), Ignatov N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:30, 3 - 1, Zhirov S. (G), Bashlykov Y. (A), Ilyichyov M. (A2)
03:58, 3 - 2, Kolesnikov K. (G), Kovalishin M. (A), Ovchinnikov Y. (A2)
06:13, 3 - 3, Smirnov M. (G), Korolyuk V. (A),
06:54, 4 - 3, Ilyichyov M. (G), Istomin L. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:46, 4 - 4, Smirnov M. (G), Kashayev E. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:38, 4 - 5, Kovalishin M. (G), Gagiyev K. (A), Kolesnikov K. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Russkie Vityazi won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Russkie Vityazi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Krylya Sovetov have a series of home games.

In this match Krylya Sovetov is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Russkie Vityazi won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 46:53 (average 2.3:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Russkie Vityazi won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:29 (average 2.6:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Russkie Vityazi
MHL
01.11.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krylya Sovetov	1:4 ✺
29.10.24	SKA-Akademiya - Russkie Vityazi	2:3 penalties ✺
28.10.24	SKA-Akademiya - Russkie Vityazi	1:3 ✺
16.10.24	Russkie Vityazi - Tayfun	5:3 ✺
15.10.24	Russkie Vityazi - Tayfun	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Krylya Sovetov Moscow
MHL
01.11.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krylya Sovetov	1:4 ✺
29.10.24	Krylya Sovetov - AKM-Junior	4:5 penalties ✺
28.10.24	Krylya Sovetov - AKM-Junior	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Krylya Sovetov - MHC Dynamo Moscow	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Krylya Sovetov - MHC Spartak	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
01.11.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krylya Sovetov	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krylya Sovetov	1:4
MHL
25.01.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krylya Sovetov	2:3
24.01.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krylya Sovetov	4:0
02.10.23	Krylya Sovetov - Russkie Vityazi	3:1
01.10.23	Krylya Sovetov - Russkie Vityazi	3:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.23	Russkie Vityazi - Krylya Sovetov	5:3

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