Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Chelmet		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.50	2.31
	2.70	3.45	1.97
	3.18	4.04	1.97	Watch
	2.75	3.90	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)	3.72 ↓ (4.05)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
32.8%

Draw
24.2%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

23.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

24.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	1. Peksa V. (G)
81. Isakov Y.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
21. Pronichkin A.	4. Chetverikov D.
36. Kisakov A.	18. Rakhimullin A.
73. Mits Z.	17. Kulikov P. (A)
29. Mokin M. (C)	77. Marushev M.
Line 2
80. Semenikhin M.	71. Samigullin R.
18. Mikanovich D.	38. Garaishin I.
98. Kolodiy L.	10. Galeyev I.
41. Eust V.	62. Chochryakov V.
97. Matyushin A. (A)	99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
67. Shchekoldin K.	75. Ionov S.
28. Potapov F.	8. Mulyukov I.
50. Yekimov N.	74. Govorkov M.
57. Telegin N.	98. Govorkov R.
46. Shaveko V. (A)	87. Krutov K.
Line 4
35. Kosachyov Y.	51. Levagin Y.
86. Sivirchukov V.	36. Myasishchev I.
44. Kozhevnikov R.	15. Yakupov R.
90. Golovnyov Y.	19. Khlopotov V. (A)
34. Gusmanov F.	79. Troyanov I.
Substitutes
60. Sherstnev S. (G)	31. Blashkov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
09:43, 1 - 0, Matyushin A. (G), Kolodiy L. (A),
13:11, 2 - 0, Telegin N. (G), Kosachyov Y. (A), Sivirchukov V. (A2)
19:43, 2 - 1, Chetverikov D. (G), Zhulin T. (A), Galeyev I. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:03, 3 - 1, Matyushin A. (G), Golovnyov Y. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:28, 4 - 1, Shaveko V. (G), Yekimov N. (A), Utenkov D. (A2)
14:23, 4 - 2, Ionov S. (G), Govorkov M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Chelmet (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chelmet could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chelmet has faced a series of away games on the road.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chelmet has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:56 (averaging 2.4:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chelmet against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 29:21 goals (averaging 2.6:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Almetyevsk	13	6	4	0	3	38:23	20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.07%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
30.09.26	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	4:5 AET ✺
24.09.26	Khimik - Chelmet	6:0 ✺
22.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet	4:3 penalties ✺
18.09.26	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
30.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
28.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4 ✺
18.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Izhstal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT
03.10.25	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3
11.12.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	4:3 OT
01.12.24	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1
22.11.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	7:1
12.11.23	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:1
11.02.23	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 penalties

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