Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Chelmet		CSK VVS Samara

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.71	3.13
	1.77	3.6	3.05
	1.91	4.15	3.33	Watch
	1.89	3.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.21)	3.84 ↓ (3.98)	3.19 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
48.6%

Draw
23.3%

CSK VVS Samara
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

23.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelmet's performance.

CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSK VVS Samara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Chelmet (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
93. Mosharov D. (G)	43. Volkov G. (G)
86. Sivirchukov V.	58. Shumilov V.
18. Mikanovich D.	24. Chibrikov I.
50. Yekimov N.	42. Galiyev E.
57. Telegin N.	7. Glazunov M.
37. Udot A.	95. Spiridonov D.
Line 2
80. Semenikhin M.	77. Paskin Y.
21. Pronichkin A.	34. Ostrovsky S. (A)
98. Kolodiy L.	51. Rakhimov R.
73. Mits Z.	91. Nasyrov M.
46. Shaveko V. (A)	9. Axyonov A. (A)
Line 3
81. Isakov Y.	44. Istyufeyev D.
5. Borodkin A. (A)	68. Onishko A.
36. Kisakov A.	46. Zhukov S.
90. Golovnyov Y.	13. Bazhukhin A.
29. Mokin M. (C)	78. Gosudarev A.
Line 4
44. Kozhevnikov R.	11. Fakhrutdinov R.
35. Kosachyov Y.	88. Gavrilov L.
34. Gusmanov F.	47. Salnikov L.
41. Eust V.	19. Galimov A. (C)
97. Matyushin A.	55. Kruzhenkov G.
Substitutes
30. Utenkov D. (G)	79. Kiselyov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
01:20, 0 - 1, Bazhukhin A. (G), Chibrikov I. (A), Gosudarev A. (A2)
02:44, 1 - 1, Isakov Y. (G), Kisakov A. (A), Mokin M. (A2)
03:39, 1 - 2, Kruzhenkov G. (G), Axyonov A. (A), Galimov A. (A2)
08:41, 1 - 3, Bazhukhin A. (G), Zhukov S. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
09:54, 2 - 3, Mokin M. (G), Telegin N. (A), Pronichkin A. (A2)
11:22, 3 - 3, Yekimov N. (G), Kozhevnikov R. (A), Kolodiy L. (A2)
12:19, 4 - 3, Isakov Y. (G), Shaveko V. (A),
16:12, 4 - 4, Glazunov M. (G), Shumilov V. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:51, 4 - 5, Chibrikov I. (G), Nasyrov M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

Chelmet is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

CSK VVS has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

CSK VVS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelmet has faced a series of away games on the road.

Chelmet is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelmet has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:25 (averaging 2.9:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chelmet against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:18 goals (averaging 3.6:2.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
25	CSK VVS	14	3	1	1	9	28:46	9
26	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

CSK VVS Samara - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
24.09.26	Khimik - Chelmet	6:0 ✺
22.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet	4:3 penalties ✺
18.09.26	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
10.09.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelmet	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
28.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:0 ✺
21.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Molot Perm	6:4 ✺
19.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Toros Neftekamsk	0:4 ✺
16.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	3:2
27.09.25	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	6:3
17.02.25	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	0:2
02.10.24	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	1:2
28.11.23	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	0:2
14.11.23	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	5:3
03.02.22	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	6:2

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