Match Info

VHL

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	Chelmet		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.58	2.96
	1.86	3.45	2.85
	2	4.05	3.12	Watch
	1.94	3.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.26)	3.73 ↓ (3.85)	2.98 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
46.2%

Draw
23.9%

Bars Kazan
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

23.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.9%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelmet's performance.

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bars Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+3%)

Chelmet - Bars Kazan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Sherstnev S. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
81. Isakov Y.	24. Bogatov N. (A)
21. Pronichkin A.	39. Almetkin V.
36. Kisakov A.	93. Barsukov I.
73. Mits Z.	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
29. Mokin M. (C)	71. Shiksatdarov I.
Line 2
5. Borodkin A. (A)	6. Gatiyatulin I.
18. Mikanovich D.	62. Naumov G.
50. Yekimov N.	55. Sherstnyov D.
57. Telegin N.	98. Saberzyanov M.
46. Shaveko V. (A)	17. Gizatullin D.
Line 3
67. Shchekoldin K.	18. Abrosimov R.
28. Potapov F.	76. Nikitin K.
98. Kolodiy L.	90. Ibragimov T.
41. Eust V.	28. Golubev D. (C)
97. Matyushin A.	23. Zinovyev D.
Line 4
44. Kozhevnikov R.	84. Safin A.
35. Kosachyov Y.	16. Toporkov V.
90. Golovnyov Y.	64. Gazizov R.
24. Yerofeyev A.	41. Klimkin I.
34. Gusmanov F.	94. Sakhapov T.
Substitutes
93. Mosharov D. (G)	70. Konovalov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:21, 1 - 0, Kisakov A. (G),
05:51, 1 - 1, Barsukov I. (G),
12:50, 2 - 1, Kisakov A. (G), Telegin N. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
06:43, 2 - 2, Safin A. (G), Shiksatdarov I. (A), Barsukov I. (A2)
17:07, 2 - 3, Abrosimov R. (G), Sherstnyov D. (A), Nikitin K. (A2)
19:44, 2 - 4, Ibragimov T. (G), Zinovyev D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
13:39, 3 - 4, Kisakov A. (G), Telegin N. (A), Shaveko V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

In recent outings, Chelmet has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bars has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Chelmet is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chelmet has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:47 (averaging 2.5:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chelmet against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 27:22 goals (averaging 3:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	Bars	17	9	0	1	7	42:52	19
30	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	14	2	1	2	9	24:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
02.10.26	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	4:5 AET ✺
24.09.26	Khimik - Chelmet	6:0 ✺
22.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
02.10.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
25.09.26	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	0:4 ✺
23.09.26	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
15.02.26	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3
29.09.25	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties
13.12.24	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	5:4
03.12.24	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	2:3
24.11.23	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3
18.11.23	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:5
10.01.23	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	0:3

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