Match Info

Date: 10 October 2022, Monday


	Ryazan		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.7	3.15
	1.94	3.59	3.26
	1.97	4.1	3.1	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)	3.8 (3.8)	3.19 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryazan
47.3%

Draw
24.1%

Ermak Angarsk
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

24.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

23.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryazan's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+4%)

Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ryazan won 2.

Ryazan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ermak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ryazan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ryazan have a series of guest games.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

Ryazan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Ryazan won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 47-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Ryazan won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ryazan
VHL
08.10.22	Ryazan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 OT ✺
03.10.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ryazan	2:1 OT ✺
01.10.22	SKA-VMF - Ryazan	4:0 ✺
29.09.22	Rubin Tyumen - Ryazan	4:3 ✺
27.09.22	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Ryazan	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
08.10.22	Khimik - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
02.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
30.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:1 ✺
28.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	3:4 OT ✺
26.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.01.22	Ermak Angarsk - Ryazan	2:3
28.09.21	Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 penalties
23.12.20	Ermak Angarsk - Ryazan	3:2 OT
24.10.20	Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	1:4
28.10.19	Ermak Angarsk - Ryazan	1:4
03.12.18	Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	3:0
10.09.18	Ermak Angarsk - Ryazan	3:5

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