Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Scaniarinken (Södertälje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Södertälje		AIK

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.25	2.65
	2.15	4.20	2.65
	2.18	4.01	2.85
	2.04	3.9	2.79
	2.11	4.27	2.77	Watch
	2.01	3.85	2.75
	2.08	3.96	2.81	Watch
	2.11	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)	4.06 ↓ (4.19)	2.75 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Södertälje
43.8%

Draw
22.7%

AIK
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

22.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Södertälje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Södertälje - AIK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Harenstam L. (G)	88. Enroth J. (G)
82. Laavainen R.	6. Vainio O. (A)
27. Norbe D. (A)	8. Jonsson S.
8. Fizer T.	71. Rolston R.
21. Stevens N. (C)	23. Vesel T. (A)
18. Souch C.	26. Nord O. (C)
Line 2
5. Lundgren J.	87. Schreiber M.
44. Arell N. (A)	98. Theocharidis T.
91. Vanderbeck A.	12. Pooley S.
16. Ikonen J.	29. Ljungman D.
95. Vayrynen T.	78. Johansson O.
Line 3
29. Hakansson W.	33. Pethrus W. (A)
4. Nilsson N.	15. Gronlund A.
28. Hesselvall A.	13. Kopac B.
19. Muzito-Bagenda D.	27. Bjork C.
88. Holst-Persson F.	25. Bengtsson C.
Line 4
6. Soderberg L.	70. Isen E.
71. Olsson G.	58. Magnusson O.
9. Harlestam H. (A)	20. Rudslatt R.
49. Lantz P.	72. Lennartsson V.
Substitutes
35. Munther T. (G)	30. Brattstrom V. (G)
	63. Eriksson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
10:04, 0 - 1, Magnusson O. (G), Gronlund A. (A), Lennartsson V. (A2)
11:21, 0 - 2, Rolston R. (G), Vainio O. (A), Vesel T. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:17, 1 - 2, Souch C. (G), Stevens N. (A), Fizer T. (A2)
07:02, 1 - 3, Lennartsson V. (G), Magnusson O. (A), Theocharidis T. (A2)
10:08, 1 - 4, Johansson O. (G), Pooley S. (A), Ljungman D. (A2)
11:56, 2 - 4, Souch C. (G), Stevens N. (A), Fizer T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:29, 3 - 4, Holst-Persson F. (G), Vanderbeck A. (A), Laavainen R. (A2)
03:52, 4 - 4, Fizer T. (G), Souch C. (A),
09', 4 - 5, Rolston R. (G), Theocharidis T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Södertälje won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

AIK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, AIK has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Södertälje has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:57 (averaging 3.1:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Södertälje against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:25 goals (averaging 2.7:2.3 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

AIK: 22.68% Sodertalje: 17.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	AIK	9	8	0	0	1	37:20	24
5	Sodertalje	9	4	1	1	3	30:23	15

Last Results with these Odds

Södertälje - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.66%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Södertälje SK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
23.09.26	Västerås - Södertälje	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Södertälje - Visby Roma	6:2 ✺
18.09.26	Leksand - Södertälje	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.09.26	BIK Karlskoga - Södertälje	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Södertälje - Visby Roma	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL
- AIK Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
23.09.26	Vimmerby - AIK	2:4 ✺
21.09.26	AIK - Kalmar	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	AIK - Modo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	AIK - BIK Karlskoga	5:2 ✺
04.09.26	AIK - Sparta Warriors	1:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
27.02.26	AIK - Södertälje	3:1
27.12.25	AIK - Södertälje	2:6
15.11.25	Södertälje - AIK	1:2
24.10.25	Södertälje - AIK	3:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.25	AIK - Södertälje	5:4 OT
21.08.25	Södertälje - AIK	2:5
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
16.02.25	Södertälje - AIK	1:3

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