The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Södertälje 55.5%
Draw 20.9%
BIK Karlskoga 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
21.7%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
22.7%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Södertälje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Södertälje's performance.
BIK Karlskoga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Södertälje that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BIK Karlskoga than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BIK Karlskoga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Södertälje - BIK Karlskoga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
73. Harenstam L. (G)
1. Lindbom O. (G)
74. Carell F.
8. Olvestad L.
27. Norbe D. (A)
9. Teravainen E.
8. Fizer T.
17. Blaisdell H.
16. Ikonen J.
10. Treloar T.
18. Souch C.
48. Golder C.
Line 2
82. Laavainen R.
78. Kayhko O.
4. Nilsson N.
90. Olsen R.
91. Vanderbeck A.
14. Bjorklund H. (A)
19. Muzito-Bagenda D. (A)
71. Pastujov N.
95. Vayrynen T.
21. Holmertz O.
Line 3
6. Soderberg L.
22. Lang V.
44. Arell N. (C)
4. Leandersson A. (A)
28. Hesselvall A.
41. Emanuelsson J.
9. Harlestam H. (A)
15. Franzen G. (A)
20. Loimaranta V.
29. Lawner O.
Line 4
5. Lundgren J.
20. Westlund W.
71. Olsson G.
27. Sjokvist T.
12. Dani A.
12. Thorell G. (C)
17. Salmi-Lilja G.
44. Harju J.
Substitutes
88. Holst-Persson F.
60. Goos M. (G)
35. Munther T. (G)
49. Sattermann D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:10, 1 - 0, Harlestam H. (G), Lundgren J. (A), Arell N. (A2)
15:35, 2 - 0, Ikonen J. (G), Souch C. (A), Norbe D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:54, 3 - 0, Hesselvall A. (G),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Södertälje won 1.
Södertälje has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Karlskoga has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Södertälje for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Södertälje in today's match, at odds of 1.66.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Södertälje has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:46 (averaging 2.2:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Södertälje against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 22:23 goals (averaging 2.2:2.3 per game).