The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SKA-1946 49.8%
Draw 22.5%
Almaz 27.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.7%
19.3%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
20.8%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA-1946 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-1946's form might have worsened.
Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almaz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1946 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-1946, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
SKA 1946 - Almaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
80. Rogatko A. (G)
94. Melchakov A. (G)
77. Kornilov I. (A)
4. Smirnov I.
54. Gorokhov S.
43. Kichigin N. (A)
16. Savin D.
91. Perminov T.
22. Shamkiy N. (C)
72. Kalinin T. (C)
87. Timashkov M.
25. Okunev I.
Line 2
95. Bondar E.
98. Gulenok T. (A)
13. Zhigalov M.
92. Konovalov M.
47. Rakov P.
27. Savin V.
9. Fursov K.
9. Volzhenkov L.
4. Korablyov A.
53. Denezhkin V.
Line 3
24. Drozhzhin V.
41. Korsakov A.
25. Maltsev A.
96. Zakharov I.
92. Masiyansky M. (A)
34. Gaponov L.
81. Chervyakov I.
38. Khomitsky V.
61. Silyutin N.
44. Bayushev G.
Line 4
12. Drozdovich D.
45. Sobolev S.
52. Zatsepin S.
46. Maslov M.
71. Sobolev R.
58. Biryukov V.
78. Sulima V.
56. Vasilevsky B.
Substitutes
30. Karbainov M. (G)
86. Kopyltsov I.
90. Marchenko T.
36. Lvov S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 3)
04:43, 1 - 0, Shamkiy N. (G), Bondar E. (A), Chervyakov I. (A2)
06:57, 1 - 1, Khomitsky V. (G), Bayushev G. (A), Gaponov L. (A2)
14:52, 1 - 2, Sobolev S. (G), Khomitsky V. (A),
16:52, 2 - 2, Silyutin N. (G), Chervyakov I. (A), Masiyansky M. (A2)
18:17, 2 - 3, Perminov T. (G), Okunev I. (A), Kalinin T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
03:43, 2 - 4, Kalinin T. (G), Perminov T. (A), Okunev I. (A2)
06:50, 2 - 5, Biryukov V. (G), Vasilevsky B. (A), Sobolev S. (A2)
12:47, 3 - 5, Fursov K. (G), Korablyov A. (A),
18:01, 3 - 6, Volzhenkov L. (G), Zakharov I. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:15, 3 - 7, Khomitsky V. (G), Korsakov A. (A), Smirnov I. (A2)
12:44, 3 - 8, Kalinin T. (G), Okunev I. (A), Perminov T. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-1946 won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Almaz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, SKA-1946 has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to SKA-1946 for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for SKA-1946 in today's match, at odds of 1.75.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SKA-1946 has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 83:43 (averaging 4.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SKA-1946 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 38:20 goals (averaging 3.8:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
SKA-1946 - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.67%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Rogatko A. (G) 
Melchakov A. (G) 
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