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Current Win Probability
Krylya Sovetov 41.4%
Draw 23.9%
Kapitan Stupino 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
23.3%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
22.4%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krylya Sovetov's form might have worsened.
Kapitan Stupino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kapitan Stupino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krylya Sovetov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kapitan Stupino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Krylya Sovetov - Kapitan Stupino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
80. Khodin Y. (G)
50. Rudovich P. (G)
17. Aubakirov R.
7. Babenko M.
5. Babintsev A.
95. Dautov M.
10. Bakuradze G.
82. Drozdov V.
78. Buslayev A.
32. Fysyna R.
23. Dmitruk K.
42. Itkin A.
69. Gagiyev K.
94. Kozlov I.
91. Grigoryan A. (A)
4. Kruglikov D.
44. Gusniyev A.
36. Kutishchev K.
13. Kashayev E. (A)
39. Kuzmin F.
25. Kolesnikov K.
27. Lobanov I.
86. Korniyenko A.
48. Maklakov A.
97. Kuzin A.
24. Maximov R.
49. Lyapustin K.
49. Pogorelov S.
95. Morozov N.
47. Rakov P.
45. Mukhtarov D.
89. Rummo Y.
15. Shamolin M.
3. Safin E.
24. Sokolov D.
62. Soshnikov A.
43. Sozinov G.
78. Sulima V.
27. Tereshchenko N. (C)
71. Zaitsev M.
92. Yeryomenko A.
64. Zotov I.
Substitutes
74. Stepin N. (G)
52. Beryoza A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:54, 1 - 0, Sokolov D. (G), Gagiyev K. (A), Kolesnikov K. (A2)
14:25, 2 - 0, Mukhtarov D. (G), Grigoryan A. (A), Tereshchenko N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
18:20, 2 - 1, Pogorelov S. (G), Maklakov A. (A),
19:32, 3 - 1, Mukhtarov D. (G), Khodin Y. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Kapitan Stupino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kapitan Stupino has had a series of home games.
Krylya Sovetov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 66:48. (average 3.3:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:27. (average 3.5:2.3).
Watch
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Khodin Y. (G) 
Aubakirov R. 
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