Match Info

MHL

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	SKA-Akademiya		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	2.34	4.08	2.55	Watch
	1.86	4.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.92)	4.17 ↓ (4.8)	2.75 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-Akademiya
44.1%

Draw
22.2%

Molot Perm
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

19.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

19.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-Akademiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Akademiya than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-2%)

SKA Akademiya - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
75. Perov A. (G)	80. Yermashov F. (G)
8. Uglov A.	25. Sadykov K. (A)
12. Khodeyev Y.	84. Bogdanov S.
23. Shapovalov A. (A)	16. Fedyayev D. (A)
9. Fursov K.	13. Uzhva A.
10. Nikolayev G.	87. Bashinsky M. (C)
Line 2
25. Maltsev A. (A)	97. Davydov V.
7. Aptikashev D.	85. Martynenko D.
92. Masiyansky M. (C)	44. Tararayev I.
11. Vasilyev V.	29. Kalashnik M.
61. Silyutin N.	19. Makarov I.
Line 3
44. Kanarsky Y.	27. Sizov R.
19. Mironov V.	34. Khoroshunov R.
81. Chervyakov I.	21. Bolotov A.
72. Chernykh D.	78. Sukharev G.
65. Privalov Y.	98. Stefanov D.
Line 4
29. Kovalyov M.	71. Tyurin B.
73. Gorbushin P.	99. Smirnov D.
22. Zatsepin S.	69. Stepanov A.
97. Samoilov A.	11. Komarov R.
4. Korablyov A.	55. Kirzhatsky K.
Substitutes
30. Karbainov M. (G)	52. Vorobyov T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:17, 0 - 1, Stefanov D. (G), Sizov R. (A), Bolotov A. (A2)
09:40, 1 - 1, Vasilyev V. (G), Silyutin N. (A),
18:38, 2 - 1, Khodeyev Y. (G), Masiyansky M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:04, 3 - 1, Masiyansky M. (G), Privalov Y. (A),
04:01, 4 - 1, Nikolayev G. (G),
06:24, 4 - 2, Makarov I. (G), Kalashnik M. (A), Bogdanov S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
12:32, 5 - 2, Maltsev A. (G), Masiyansky M. (A), Vasilyev V. (A2)
16:53, 6 - 2, Mironov V. (G), Silyutin N. (A), Gorbushin P. (A2)

Preview

SKA-Akademiya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Molot is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Molot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Molot has had a series of away games.

SKA-Akademiya might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-Akademiya
MHL
24.09.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-Akademiya	7:2 ✺
19.09.25	Mikhaylov Academy - SKA-Akademiya	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Tayfun	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Tayfun	0:4 ✺
10.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Amurskie Tigry	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWLW
- JHC Molot Perm
MHL
23.09.25	Krylya Sovetov - Molot Perm	1:2 penalties ✺
18.09.25	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	6:1 ✺
15.09.25	Loko-76 - Molot Perm	5:1 ✺
14.09.25	Loko-76 - Molot Perm	5:9 ✺
11.09.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Molot Perm	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW

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