Match Info

MHL

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Krylya Sovetov		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.62	3.38
	1.81	4.3	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	4.46 ↓ (4.55)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov
51.7%

Draw
20.9%

Molot Perm
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

20.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

21.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Krylya Sovetov - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Stepin N. (G)	52. Vorobyov T. (G)
13. Kashayev E. (A)	25. Sadykov K. (A)
27. Tereshchenko N. (C)	84. Bogdanov S.
95. Morozov N.	98. Stefanov D.
25. Kolesnikov K.	16. Fedyayev D. (A)
43. Sozinov G.	87. Bashinsky M. (C)
Line 2
22. Rodionov A.	85. Martynenko D.
69. Gagiyev K.	97. Davydov V.
91. Grigoryan A. (A)	44. Tararayev I.
17. Aubakirov R.	19. Makarov I.
24. Sokolov D.	29. Kalashnik M.
Line 3
86. Korniyenko A.	27. Sizov R.
49. Lyapustin K.	34. Khoroshunov R.
45. Mukhtarov D.	95. Spiridonov D.
44. Gusniyev A.	55. Kirzhatsky K.
71. Lukhanin S.	78. Sukharev G.
Line 4
10. Bakuradze G.	94. Pyankov D.
78. Buslayev A.	21. Bolotov A.
15. Shamolin M.	11. Komarov R.
89. Bykov A.	13. Uzhva A.
77. Bashlykov Y.
Substitutes
80. Khodin Y. (G)	71. Tyurin B.
	1. Vyatkin R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:16, 0 - 1, Bolotov A. (G), Sukharev G. (A), Uzhva A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:56, 1 - 1, Gusniyev A. (G), Mukhtarov D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Spiridonov D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bykov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Makarov I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Morozov N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Fedyayev D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kolesnikov K. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Krylya Sovetov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Molot is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Molot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Krylya Sovetov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Molot Perm - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov Moscow
MHL
18.09.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Krylya Sovetov	7:2 ✺
16.09.25	SKA-1946 - Krylya Sovetov	4:3 OT ✺
11.09.25	Atlant - Krylya Sovetov	2:3 ✺
10.09.25	Atlant - Krylya Sovetov	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Amurskie Tigry	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWL
- JHC Molot Perm
MHL
18.09.25	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	6:1 ✺
15.09.25	Loko-76 - Molot Perm	5:1 ✺
14.09.25	Loko-76 - Molot Perm	5:9 ✺
11.09.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Molot Perm	4:5 OT ✺
10.09.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Molot Perm	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW

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