The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SKA-Akademiya 40.5%
Draw 23.3%
Spartak MAX 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
22.1%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
25.4%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA-Akademiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Spartak MAX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Akademiya than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-Akademiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak MAX than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak MAX, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
SKA Akademiya - Spartak MAX Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Karbainov M. (G)
36. Yegorov Y. (G)
8. Uglov A.
98. Morozov S.
19. Mironov V.
73. Zhiryakov V. (C)
23. Shapovalov A. (A)
78. Murashev Y.
88. Timashkov M.
21. Belugin I.
65. Privalov Y.
15. Kromberg M.
Line 2
29. Kovalyov M.
74. Shokhrin K.
24. Drozhzhin V.
55. Karlik D.
10. Nikolayev G.
61. Oblashchikov I.
11. Vasilyev V.
64. Pivchulin G.
4. Korablyov A. (C)
97. Ogorodnikov Y.
Line 3
12. Khodeyev Y.
44. Seleznyov D.
7. Aptikashev D.
31. Babkin I.
22. Zatsepin S.
90. Kachalov Y. (A)
42. Sobolev R.
8. Safronov A.
61. Silyutin N.
96. Perelygin G. (A)
Line 4
44. Kanarsky Y.
82. Sanin D.
97. Samoilov A.
43. Karaserli Y.
16. Savin D.
79. Vuichenko I.
9. Fursov K. (A)
18. Anisimov D.
71. Lvov N.
24. Tatsi M.
Substitutes
70. Popov I. (G)
70. Midlak Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
00:38, 0 - 1, Murashev Y. (G), Morozov S. (A), Belugin I. (A2)
00:52, 0 - 2, Pivchulin G. (G), Oblashchikov I. (A),
02:34, 1 - 2, Shapovalov A. (G), Kovalyov M. (A), Timashkov M. (A2)
03:34, 1 - 3, Kachalov Y. (G), Perelygin G. (A), Babkin I. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:03, 2 - 3, Kovalyov M. (G), Vasilyev V. (A), Drozhzhin V. (A2)
11:56, 3 - 3, Silyutin N. (G), Khodeyev Y. (A), Karbainov M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:57, 3 - 4, Vuichenko I. (G), Ogorodnikov Y. (A), Karlik D. (A2)
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Spartak MAX has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SKA-Akademiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 4.3:3.7).
Including home match between the teams, SKA-Akademiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3.