Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Bars Kazan		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	2.53	3.27	2.29
	2.45	3.15	2.2
	2.79	3.88	2.22	Watch
	2.6	3.75	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.6)	3.51 ↓ (3.7)	2.22 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
34.4%

Draw
25.4%

SKA-VMF
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-4%)

Bars Kazan - SKA VMF Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SKA-VMF (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	57. Sevostyanov A.
75. Ivanov A.	81. Varlakov A.
93. Barsukov I.	38. Gurzanov Y.
41. Klimkin I.	15. Busarov G. (C)
71. Shiksatdarov I.	44. Dyadenkin D.
Line 2
79. Dulnev A.	14. Shekhovtsov Y.
18. Abrosimov R. (A)	85. Zhuravlev Y.
61. Khasanov I.	39. Kuzminov Y.
28. Golubev D. (C)	32. Barabanov V.
14. Ustimkin M.	97. Nugmanov A.
Line 3
60. Lisov N.	5. Yarullin A.
62. Naumov G.	6. Lukichyov A.
90. Ibragimov T.	88. Kapchuk S.
21. Kolomytsev I.	17. Kabush M.
17. Gizatullin D.	93. Filippov A.
Line 4
84. Safin A.	80. Gryaznov G. (A)
16. Toporkov V.	18. Slivchenko M.
64. Gazizov R.	95. Shevchenko D. (A)
23. Zinovyev D.	22. Sorokin Y.
55. Sherstnyov D.
Substitutes
70. Konovalov M. (G)	73. Podlyagin N. (G)
	87. Popov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:08, 0 - 1, Dyadenkin D. (G), Zhuravlev Y. (A), Gurzanov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:22, 0 - 2, Gryaznov G. (G), Barabanov V. (A),
15:36, 0 - 3, Sevostyanov A. (G), Shevchenko D. (A),
19:23, 0 - 4, Dyadenkin D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 4.

Bars arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

SKA-VMF has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bars may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bars has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:47 (averaging 2.2:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 23:20 goals (averaging 2.6:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	17	10	2	1	4	48:23	25
16	Bars	18	9	0	1	8	42:54	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
14.10.26	Bars Kazan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
12.10.26	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	5:2 ✺
10.10.26	Bars Kazan - Khimik	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWW
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
14.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	2:1 penalties ✺
12.10.26	CSK VVS Samara - SKA-VMF	0:5 ✺
05.10.26	SKA-VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
02.10.26	Khimik - SKA-VMF	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.01.26	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	0:2
17.11.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:0
27.02.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:2
21.09.24	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties
05.12.23	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	2:3
07.11.23	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.23	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	1:0

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