Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.8	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	3.8 ↓ (3.84)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
37.6%

Draw
24.6%

Bars Kazan
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

24.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

25%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Norilsk - Bars Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Botov M. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
43. Ugolnikov A.	24. Bogatov N.
18. Alexeyev D.	39. Almetkin V.
55. Alkhimov S.	17. Gizatullin D.
11. Shevchenko V.	9. Alshevsky S.
97. Leontyev A.	41. Klimkin I.
Line 2
72. Korchemkin D.	75. Ivanov A.
51. Popov O.	60. Lisov N.
71. Golodnyuk S.	10. Galeyev I.
89. Gorbunov D.	98. Saberzyanov M.
93. Korenev I.	93. Barsukov I.
Line 3
21. Kolomiytsev I.	71. Samigullin R.
79. Chebykin Y.	26. Taimazov A.
91. Lazarev A.	64. Gazizov R.
74. Lapshin I.	28. Golubev D.
63. Yemets I.	55. Sherstnyov D.
Line 4
64. Minayev Y.	22. Bardin I.
56. Mokin N.	90. Gabdrakhmanov E.
58. Yadykin Y.	23. Zinovyev D.
69. Skorikov D.	32. Vasilkov A.
Substitutes
45. Nikitin V. (G)	72. Mekhovov I.
	40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:56, 1 - 0, Korenev I. (G), Korchemkin D. (A),
06:25, 1 - 1, Alshevsky S. (G), Klimkin I. (A), Gizatullin D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:38, 1 - 2, Galeyev I. (G), Taimazov A. (A), Ivanov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
19:09, 1 - 3, Barsukov I. (G), Chibizov A. (A),
19:31, 2 - 3, Minayev Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.

Norilsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bars's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
21.11.25	Norilsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:5 ✺
19.11.25	Norilsk - Chelny	3:6 ✺
17.11.25	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	AKM - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ryazan - Norilsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
17.11.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bars Kazan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
04.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Chelny - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
29.10.25	Bars Kazan - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.12.24	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3
21.11.24	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	3:4 OT
12.02.24	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	0:4
08.09.23	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.23	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	5:4 OT
17.08.23	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	1:2 OT

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