Match Info

VHL

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	SKA-VMF		Tambov

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.8	3.45
	2	3.96	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)	3.88 ↓ (4.05)	3.32 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
47.1%

Draw
24.4%

Tambov
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

23.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

24.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA-VMF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tambov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SKA VMF - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)
27. Sapunov V.	26. Yershov I.
80. Gryaznov G. (C)	24. Mamkin M. (A)
39. Kuzminov Y.	74. Zhabreyev A.
17. Kabush M. (A)	7. Kamenev V.
91. Lutfullin I.	51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	57. Baranov V.
48. Salnikov E.	38. Yepishin M.
82. Mamaladze D.	92. Korinevsky M. (A)
38. Gurzanov Y.	71. Koltygin P.
23. Osipov G.	63. Valitsky I.
Line 3
63. Anisimov S. (A)	95. Pesterev V.
21. Kalinin N.	6. Gromov N.
96. Kabat M.	84. Nizovkin M.
24. Sharov A.	96. Pyanov E.
13. Kuzmin I.	43. Ugolnikov A.
Line 4
99. Rogachyov T.	65. Nikiforov D.
11. Gorbushin M.	29. Protasov I.
83. Shamshurin S.	30. Sadovin O.
10. Ignatov I.	87. Gorbunov Y.
	39. Ivanov M.
Substitutes
52. Moysevich P. (G)	60. Golovlev V. (G)
74. Podlyagin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
00:50, 1 - 0, Osipov G. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Salnikov E. (A2)
19:06, 2 - 0, Gurzanov Y. (G), Gorbushin M. (A),
19:59, 3 - 0, Kuzmin I. (G), Sharov A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:34, 3 - 1, Valitsky I. (G), Kamenev V. (A),
13:46, 3 - 2, Zhabreyev A. (G), Pesterev V. (A), Pyanov E. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
13:56, 4 - 2, Sapunov V. (G),
17:00, 5 - 2, Lutfullin I. (G), Kuzminov Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 3.

In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tambov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of home games.

SKA-VMF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that SKA-VMF will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 52:35. (average 3.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 5:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.86%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Tambov - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 32%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
13.03.26	SKA-VMF - Rostov	5:0 ✺
11.03.26	SKA-VMF - Buran Voronezh	3:0 ✺
03.03.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT ✺
27.02.26	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLW
- HC Tambov
VHL
08.03.26	Tambov - Norilsk	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Tambov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
04.03.26	Tambov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:7 ✺
02.03.26	Tambov - Dynamo-Altay	5:4 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Tambov - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.09.25	Tambov - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT
26.12.24	SKA-VMF - Tambov	5:4 penalties
23.11.24	Tambov - SKA-VMF	4:1
21.12.23	Tambov - SKA-VMF	4:3 OT
24.10.23	SKA-VMF - Tambov	7:1
17.01.23	Tambov - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT
07.10.22	SKA-VMF - Tambov	6:2

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