Match Info

VHL

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Tambov		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	2.77	3.44	2.06
	2.70	3.35	2.01
	2.57	3.88	2.37	Watch
	2.70	3.80	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.45)	3.62 ↓ (3.86)	2.16 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
33.5%

Draw
24.8%

Norilsk
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

24.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

26.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tambov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norilsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Tambov - Norilsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tambov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tambov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Mytnik N. (G)	98. Gluschenko R. (G)
73. Zhukov A.	4. Shalapov Y. (C)
54. Marin M.	11. Steklov K.
66. Didkovsky A.	28. Shevchenko A. (A)
69. Pyanov E.	36. Zlodeyev D.
23. Lazarev M. (A)	14. Sinyatkin S.
Line 2
82. Paigin Z. (A)	74. Perelyayev S.
26. Yershov I.	66. Drugalya S.
87. Borodin D.	8. Avramenko I.
86. Kopyltsov S.	52. Shevchenko V.
19. Vladimirov N. (C)	88. Shalagin M. (A)
Line 3
24. Maslov K.	3. Melyakov K.
3. Pirogov I.	5. Krasnov A.
70. Chefanov I.	17. Golodnyuk S.
89. Sadovin O.	10. Lipanov A.
9. Ulyanov V.	86. Kirileichenko M.
Line 4
95. Pesterev V.	22. Rodionov A.
33. Balashov M.	69. Filin F.
21. Vikharev D.	87. Gorbunov Y.
17. Alshevsky A.	89. Yemets I.
Substitutes
60. Golovlev V. (G)	77. Guskov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:37, 1 - 0, Kopyltsov S. (G), Sadovin O. (A), Mytnik N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:09, 1 - 1, Drugalya S. (G), Shalagin M. (A), Lipanov A. (A2)
09:46, 2 - 1, Balashov M. (G), Vikharev D. (A), Pirogov I. (A2)
12:14, 3 - 1, Alshevsky A. (G), Vikharev D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:38, 4 - 1, Didkovsky A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Tambov (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Norilsk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Norilsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Norilsk has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tambov has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 2.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tambov against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 1.3:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Norilsk - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
21.09.26	Kaluga - Tambov	6:0 ✺
19.09.26	AKM - Tambov	7:5 ✺
17.09.26	Ryazan - Tambov	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Tambov - Bars Kazan	2:1 OT ✺
07.09.26	Tambov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- HK Norilsk
VHL
25.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Norilsk	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Norilsk - Omskie Krylia	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2 AET ✺
16.09.26	Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
14.09.26	Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.03.26	Tambov - Norilsk	0:1
16.09.25	Norilsk - Tambov	2:3 OT
02.02.25	Tambov - Norilsk	2:3
17.10.24	Norilsk - Tambov	4:3
26.11.23	Tambov - Norilsk	2:3
13.11.23	Norilsk - Tambov	1:4

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